Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary, capturing 73% of the vote against challenger Chris Hatley, has solidified trader consensus favoring a GOP hold in Texas' 27th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan voter index. Cloud's consistent general election margins—66% in 2024, over 64% in 2022—underscore the district's reliable Republican performance in South Texas battlegrounds like Corpus Christi. Democrat Tanya Lloyd advanced from her primary with 63%, facing Cloud and independent Dan McQueen in the November 3 general election, but structural advantages keep Democratic odds low absent major shifts like scandal or national wave. No recent polls available, though historical base rates support the implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
87%
民主党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,824 Vol.
87%
民主党
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary, capturing 73% of the vote against challenger Chris Hatley, has solidified trader consensus favoring a GOP hold in Texas' 27th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan voter index. Cloud's consistent general election margins—66% in 2024, over 64% in 2022—underscore the district's reliable Republican performance in South Texas battlegrounds like Corpus Christi. Democrat Tanya Lloyd advanced from her primary with 63%, facing Cloud and independent Dan McQueen in the November 3 general election, but structural advantages keep Democratic odds low absent major shifts like scandal or national wave. No recent polls available, though historical base rates support the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$1,824終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary, capturing 73% of the vote against challenger Chris Hatley, has solidified trader consensus favoring a GOP hold in Texas' 27th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan voter index. Cloud's consistent general election margins—66% in 2024, over 64% in 2022—underscore the district's reliable Republican performance in South Texas battlegrounds like Corpus Christi. Democrat Tanya Lloyd advanced from her primary with 63%, facing Cloud and independent Dan McQueen in the November 3 general election, but structural advantages keep Democratic odds low absent major shifts like scandal or national wave. No recent polls available, though historical base rates support the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,824終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Cloud's decisive victory in the March 3 Republican primary, capturing 73% of the vote against challenger Chris Hatley, has solidified trader consensus favoring a GOP hold in Texas' 27th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+14 partisan voter index. Cloud's consistent general election margins—66% in 2024, over 64% in 2022—underscore the district's reliable Republican performance in South Texas battlegrounds like Corpus Christi. Democrat Tanya Lloyd advanced from her primary with 63%, facing Cloud and independent Dan McQueen in the November 3 general election, but structural advantages keep Democratic odds low absent major shifts like scandal or national wave. No recent polls available, though historical base rates support the implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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