Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory over challenger Robert Chick in the March 3, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 89% odds for a GOP hold in Texas's 26th Congressional District, an R+11 seat where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly advanced with 51% in his primary against Ernest Lineberger III, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $3 million fundraising edge and the district's history of Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent generals. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings from Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Republican, markets reflect low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election barring scandals or national wave shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
10%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,522 Vol.
89%
民主党
$3,241 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory over challenger Robert Chick in the March 3, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 89% odds for a GOP hold in Texas's 26th Congressional District, an R+11 seat where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly advanced with 51% in his primary against Ernest Lineberger III, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $3 million fundraising edge and the district's history of Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent generals. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings from Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Republican, markets reflect low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election barring scandals or national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$6,763終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory over challenger Robert Chick in the March 3, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 89% odds for a GOP hold in Texas's 26th Congressional District, an R+11 seat where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly advanced with 51% in his primary against Ernest Lineberger III, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $3 million fundraising edge and the district's history of Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent generals. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings from Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Republican, markets reflect low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election barring scandals or national wave shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,763終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill's commanding 91% victory over challenger Robert Chick in the March 3, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 89% odds for a GOP hold in Texas's 26th Congressional District, an R+11 seat where Donald Trump carried 61% in 2024. Democrat Steven Shook narrowly advanced with 51% in his primary against Ernest Lineberger III, but faces steep barriers including Gill's $3 million fundraising edge and the district's history of Republican margins exceeding 60% in recent generals. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings from Cook Political Report deeming it Solid Republican, markets reflect low upset risk ahead of the November 3 general election barring scandals or national wave shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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