The strongly Republican tilt of Texas's 26th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent presidential results favoring the GOP by wide margins, underpins trader consensus around an 89% probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Brandon Gill secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 91% of the vote, facing Democrat Steven Shook, who advanced from his party's primary. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, and no significant recent shifts in voter registration, polling trends, or candidate developments altering the district's established voting patterns, the current pricing aligns with historical outcomes in this solidly Republican seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
10%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,522 Vol.
89%
民主党
$3,790 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican tilt of Texas's 26th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent presidential results favoring the GOP by wide margins, underpins trader consensus around an 89% probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Brandon Gill secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 91% of the vote, facing Democrat Steven Shook, who advanced from his party's primary. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, and no significant recent shifts in voter registration, polling trends, or candidate developments altering the district's established voting patterns, the current pricing aligns with historical outcomes in this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$7,313終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican tilt of Texas's 26th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent presidential results favoring the GOP by wide margins, underpins trader consensus around an 89% probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Brandon Gill secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 91% of the vote, facing Democrat Steven Shook, who advanced from his party's primary. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, and no significant recent shifts in voter registration, polling trends, or candidate developments altering the district's established voting patterns, the current pricing aligns with historical outcomes in this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,313終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strongly Republican tilt of Texas's 26th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and recent presidential results favoring the GOP by wide margins, underpins trader consensus around an 89% probability for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Brandon Gill secured the party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 91% of the vote, facing Democrat Steven Shook, who advanced from his party's primary. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, and no significant recent shifts in voter registration, polling trends, or candidate developments altering the district's established voting patterns, the current pricing aligns with historical outcomes in this solidly Republican seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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