The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Texas’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat, centered in Houston, carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean that has persisted through recent redistricting, with historical voting patterns showing large margins for Democratic candidates. Christian Menefee secured the nomination by defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff, consolidating support within the party. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces structural headwinds in a district where the opposing party’s base turnout and registration advantages have consistently produced decisive outcomes. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the district’s established electoral fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
80%
共和党
22%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$0 Vol.
80%
共和党
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Texas’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat, centered in Houston, carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean that has persisted through recent redistricting, with historical voting patterns showing large margins for Democratic candidates. Christian Menefee secured the nomination by defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff, consolidating support within the party. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces structural headwinds in a district where the opposing party’s base turnout and registration advantages have consistently produced decisive outcomes. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the district’s established electoral fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Texas’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat, centered in Houston, carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean that has persisted through recent redistricting, with historical voting patterns showing large margins for Democratic candidates. Christian Menefee secured the nomination by defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff, consolidating support within the party. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces structural headwinds in a district where the opposing party’s base turnout and registration advantages have consistently produced decisive outcomes. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the district’s established electoral fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in Texas’s 18th congressional district ahead of the November 3 general election. The seat, centered in Houston, carries a strongly Democratic partisan lean that has persisted through recent redistricting, with historical voting patterns showing large margins for Democratic candidates. Christian Menefee secured the nomination by defeating fellow incumbent Al Green in the May 26 Democratic primary runoff, consolidating support within the party. Republican nominee Ronald Whitfield faces structural headwinds in a district where the opposing party’s base turnout and registration advantages have consistently produced decisive outcomes. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the district’s established electoral fundamentals and the absence of major late-cycle shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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