Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee's decisive January special election runoff victory and fundraising edge over Rep. Al Green—raising twice as much in Q1—bolster trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the solidly blue TX-18, a Houston-area district redrawn to merge parts of former TX-09. Following the March 3 Democratic primary where Menefee (46%) edged Green (44%) for a May 26 runoff, the winner faces token opposition from GOP nominee Ronald Whitfield, who prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's deep-blue history and weak GOP path-to-victory. Barring scandals, health issues, or unprecedented turnout shifts, a Republican flip remains improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
91%
共和党
4%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$0 Vol.
91%
共和党
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee's decisive January special election runoff victory and fundraising edge over Rep. Al Green—raising twice as much in Q1—bolster trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the solidly blue TX-18, a Houston-area district redrawn to merge parts of former TX-09. Following the March 3 Democratic primary where Menefee (46%) edged Green (44%) for a May 26 runoff, the winner faces token opposition from GOP nominee Ronald Whitfield, who prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's deep-blue history and weak GOP path-to-victory. Barring scandals, health issues, or unprecedented turnout shifts, a Republican flip remains improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee's decisive January special election runoff victory and fundraising edge over Rep. Al Green—raising twice as much in Q1—bolster trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the solidly blue TX-18, a Houston-area district redrawn to merge parts of former TX-09. Following the March 3 Democratic primary where Menefee (46%) edged Green (44%) for a May 26 runoff, the winner faces token opposition from GOP nominee Ronald Whitfield, who prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's deep-blue history and weak GOP path-to-victory. Barring scandals, health issues, or unprecedented turnout shifts, a Republican flip remains improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Christian Menefee's decisive January special election runoff victory and fundraising edge over Rep. Al Green—raising twice as much in Q1—bolster trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the solidly blue TX-18, a Houston-area district redrawn to merge parts of former TX-09. Following the March 3 Democratic primary where Menefee (46%) edged Green (44%) for a May 26 runoff, the winner faces token opposition from GOP nominee Ronald Whitfield, who prevailed in a low-turnout Republican primary. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others deem it Safe Democratic, reflecting the seat's deep-blue history and weak GOP path-to-victory. Barring scandals, health issues, or unprecedented turnout shifts, a Republican flip remains improbable before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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