Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured the GOP nomination in Texas's 6th Congressional District with 66-68% of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, defeating two challengers despite facing intra-party criticism over select votes, bolstering trader confidence in his general election prospects against unopposed Democratic nominee Danny Minton. The district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others reflects Donald Trump's 60% margin in 2024 and Ellzey's prior 66% reelection, compounded by his $2.1 million cash-on-hand edge over Minton's $9,000 as of late April. Absent polling or major shifts, traders price an 88% Republican win probability ahead of the November 3 contest, viewing Democratic flips as improbable in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth stronghold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,751 Vol.
88%
民主党
$4,256 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured the GOP nomination in Texas's 6th Congressional District with 66-68% of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, defeating two challengers despite facing intra-party criticism over select votes, bolstering trader confidence in his general election prospects against unopposed Democratic nominee Danny Minton. The district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others reflects Donald Trump's 60% margin in 2024 and Ellzey's prior 66% reelection, compounded by his $2.1 million cash-on-hand edge over Minton's $9,000 as of late April. Absent polling or major shifts, traders price an 88% Republican win probability ahead of the November 3 contest, viewing Democratic flips as improbable in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$7,007終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured the GOP nomination in Texas's 6th Congressional District with 66-68% of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, defeating two challengers despite facing intra-party criticism over select votes, bolstering trader confidence in his general election prospects against unopposed Democratic nominee Danny Minton. The district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others reflects Donald Trump's 60% margin in 2024 and Ellzey's prior 66% reelection, compounded by his $2.1 million cash-on-hand edge over Minton's $9,000 as of late April. Absent polling or major shifts, traders price an 88% Republican win probability ahead of the November 3 contest, viewing Democratic flips as improbable in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,007終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured the GOP nomination in Texas's 6th Congressional District with 66-68% of the primary vote on March 3, 2026, defeating two challengers despite facing intra-party criticism over select votes, bolstering trader confidence in his general election prospects against unopposed Democratic nominee Danny Minton. The district's Solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and others reflects Donald Trump's 60% margin in 2024 and Ellzey's prior 66% reelection, compounded by his $2.1 million cash-on-hand edge over Minton's $9,000 as of late April. Absent polling or major shifts, traders price an 88% Republican win probability ahead of the November 3 contest, viewing Democratic flips as improbable in this suburban Dallas-Fort Worth stronghold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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