Market icon
財務·TSLA

テスラ（ TSLA ）は3月末の___を超えて閉店しますか？

Market icon
財務·TSLA

テスラ（ TSLA ）は3月末の___を超えて閉店しますか？

4PM Mar 31

4PM Mar 31

$61,457 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$61,457 Vol.

Polymarket

350ドル

$5,564 Vol.

78%

$360

$3,458 Vol.

59%

370ドル

$2,317 Vol.

35%

380ドル

$5,009 Vol.

14%

390ドル

$25,647 Vol.

7%

400ドル

$5,923 Vol.

3%

$410

$7,816 Vol.

3%

$420

$757 Vol.

2%

430ドル

$315 Vol.

2%

440ドル

$1,103 Vol.

2%

$450

$861 Vol.

2%

$460

$1,113 Vol.

2%

470ドル

$1,617 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Tesla shares have traded in a volatile range around $190–$200 in recent weeks, pressured by weakening Q1 delivery expectations amid slowing EV demand, aggressive price cuts eroding margins, and intensifying competition from BYD in China, where Tesla's market share slipped below 8%. Q4 earnings delivered revenue growth to $25.2 billion but auto gross margins contracted to 17.3% excluding credits, below consensus, fueling concerns over profitability amid high interest rates curbing consumer spending. Traders are monitoring upcoming Q1 delivery figures due early April, which could sway end-of-March pricing, alongside Federal Reserve rate cut signals influencing growth stocks. Sector rotation toward AI and mega-cap tech has also weighed on TSLA relative to Nasdaq peers.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
音量
$61,457
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Tesla shares have traded in a volatile range around $190–$200 in recent weeks, pressured by weakening Q1 delivery expectations amid slowing EV demand, aggressive price cuts eroding margins, and intensifying competition from BYD in China, where Tesla's market share slipped below 8%. Q4 earnings delivered revenue growth to $25.2 billion but auto gross margins contracted to 17.3% excluding credits, below consensus, fueling concerns over profitability amid high interest rates curbing consumer spending. Traders are monitoring upcoming Q1 delivery figures due early April, which could sway end-of-March pricing, alongside Federal Reserve rate cut signals influencing growth stocks. Sector rotation toward AI and mega-cap tech has also weighed on TSLA relative to Nasdaq peers.

Tesla shares have traded in a volatile range around $190–$200 in recent weeks, pressured by weakening Q1 delivery expectations amid slowing EV demand, aggressive price cuts eroding margins, and intensifying competition from BYD in China, where Tesla's market share slipped below 8%. Q4 earnings delivered revenue growth to $25.2 billion but auto gross margins contracted to 17.3% excluding credits, below consensus, fueling concerns over profitability amid high interest rates curbing consumer spending. Traders are monitoring upcoming Q1 delivery figures due early April, which could sway end-of-March pricing, alongside Federal Reserve rate cut signals influencing growth stocks. Sector rotation toward AI and mega-cap tech has also weighed on TSLA relative to Nasdaq peers.

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よくある質問

「テスラ（ TSLA ）は3月末の___を超えて閉店しますか？」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「350ドル」で78%、次いで「$360」が59%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、78¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に78%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「テスラ（ TSLA ）は3月末の___を超えて閉店しますか？」は$61.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「テスラ（ TSLA ）は3月末の___を超えて閉店しますか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「テスラ（ TSLA ）は3月末の___を超えて閉店しますか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「350ドル」で78%であり、市場がこの結果に78%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$360」で59%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「テスラ（ TSLA ）は3月末の___を超えて閉店しますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。