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政治·ポーリング

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

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政治·ポーリング

Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.6%

Harris by 0-0.9 <1%

Trump lead <1%

Harris by 2-2.4 <1%

Polymarket

$766,614 Vol.

Harris by 1.5-1.9 99.6%

Harris by 0-0.9 <1%

Trump lead <1%

Harris by 2-2.4 <1%

Polymarket

$766,614 Vol.

Trump lead

$147,364 Vol.

No

Harris by 0-0.9

$117,970 Vol.

No

Harris by 1-1.4

$161,779 Vol.

No

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$87,420 Vol.

Yes

Harris by 2-2.4

$126,654 Vol.

No

Harris by 2.5+

$125,428 Vol.

No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +0.0 (inclusive) and Harris +0.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +1.0 (inclusive) and Harris +1.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +1.5 (inclusive) and Harris +1.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +2 (inclusive) and Harris +2.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris 2.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
音量
$766,614
終了日
Aug 30, 2024
マーケット開始日
Aug 22, 2024, 3:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +0.0 (inclusive) and Harris +0.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +1.0 (inclusive) and Harris +1.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +1.5 (inclusive) and Harris +1.9 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris +2 (inclusive) and Harris +2.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of August 30, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is between Harris 2.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on August 30, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 3, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of August 30, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

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よくある質問

「Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Harris by 1.5-1.9」で100%、次いで「Trump lead」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?」は$766.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Aug 22, 2024のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Harris by 1.5-1.9」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Trump lead」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。