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Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Market icon

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 1.6-2.0  100.0%

Trump by 0.5+ <1%

Trump by 0-0.4 <1%

Harris by 0.1-0.5 <1%

Polymarket

$845,714 Vol.

Harris by 1.6-2.0  100.0%

Trump by 0.5+ <1%

Trump by 0-0.4 <1%

Harris by 0.1-0.5 <1%

Polymarket

$845,714 Vol.

Trump by 0.5+

$60,591 Vol.

No

Trump by 0-0.4

$79,667 Vol.

No

Harris by 0.1-0.5

$70,540 Vol.

No

Harris by 0.6-1.0

$75,289 Vol.

No

Harris by 1.1-1.5

$149,946 Vol.

No

Harris by 1.6-2.0

$138,949 Vol.

Yes

Harris by 2.1-2.5

$123,963 Vol.

No

Harris by >2.5

$146,770 Vol.

No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Trump +0.0 (inclusive) and Trump +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +0.1 (inclusive) and Harris +0.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +0.6 (inclusive) and Harris +1.0 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +1.1 (inclusive) and Harris +1.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +1.6 (inclusive) and Harris +2.0 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +2.1 (inclusive) and Harris +2.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Harris by more than +2.5 percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
音量
$845,714
終了日
2024/09/20
マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2024, 5:15 PM ET
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Trump +0.0 (inclusive) and Trump +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +0.1 (inclusive) and Harris +0.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +0.6 (inclusive) and Harris +1.0 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +1.1 (inclusive) and Harris +1.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +1.6 (inclusive) and Harris +2.0 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +2.1 (inclusive) and Harris +2.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Harris by more than +2.5 percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
音量
$845,714
終了日
2024/09/20
マーケット開始日
Sep 10, 2024, 5:15 PM ET
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Harris by 1.6-2.0 」で100%、次いで「Trump by 0.5+」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?」は$845.7Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 10, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Harris by 1.6-2.0 」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Trump by 0.5+」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。