Harris by 2-2.4 99.9%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 <1%
$3,945,769 Vol.
$3,945,769 Vol.
Oct 4, 2024
Trump lead
No
Harris by 0-0.4
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
No
Harris by 1-1.4
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
No
Harris by 2-2.4
Yes
Harris by 2.5-2.9
No
Harris by 3-3.4
No
Harris by 3.5+
No
Harris by 2-2.4 99.9%
Trump lead <1%
Harris by 0-0.4 <1%
Harris by 0.5-0.9 <1%
$3,945,769 Vol.
$3,945,769 Vol.
Oct 4, 2024
Trump lead
$61,461 Vol.
No
Harris by 0-0.4
$57,775 Vol.
No
Harris by 0.5-0.9
$58,696 Vol.
No
Harris by 1-1.4
$2,335,603 Vol.
No
Harris by 1.5-1.9
$89,739 Vol.
No
Harris by 2-2.4
$91,533 Vol.
Yes
Harris by 2.5-2.9
$90,754 Vol.
No
Harris by 3-3.4
$65,491 Vol.
No
Harris by 3.5+
$1,094,717 Vol.
No
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of October 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of October 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average is Trump +0.1 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The RCP Polling Average will be checked on October 4, 12:00 PM ET.
Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.
If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by October 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of October 4, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
作成日: Sep 20, 2024, 6:54 PM ET
音量
$3,945,769終了日
Oct 4, 2024作成日時
Sep 20, 2024, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No

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