Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?
Trump CNN Town Hall: Will he mention...?
$14,740 Vol.
May 9, 2023
Russia/Putin 5 or more times?
Yes
Joe Biden 5 or more times?
Yes
Ron DeSantis 5 or more times
No
DeSantis mentions > Biden mentions?
No
Beautiful 10 or more times?
No
Huge 10 or more times?
No
Meatball
No
Hunter Biden
No
Lock Her Up
No
January 6
Yes
Rape
Yes
Bigly
No
AI/GPT
No
Bitcoin
No
$14,740 Vol.
Russia/Putin 5 or more times?
$1,017 Vol.
Yes
Joe Biden 5 or more times?
$815 Vol.
Yes
Ron DeSantis 5 or more times
$659 Vol.
No
DeSantis mentions > Biden mentions?
$502 Vol.
No
Beautiful 10 or more times?
$2,099 Vol.
No
Huge 10 or more times?
$774 Vol.
No
Meatball
$515 Vol.
No
Hunter Biden
$568 Vol.
No
Lock Her Up
$0 Vol.
No
January 6
$1,010 Vol.
Yes
Rape
$2,638 Vol.
Yes
Bigly
$2,644 Vol.
No
AI/GPT
$1,114 Vol.
No
Bitcoin
$385 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions Russia/Putin 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
“Russia”
“Russian”
"Russia's"
“Putin”
"Putins"
"Putin's"
Pluralization/possessive of the words above will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions "Joe Biden" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Only the following phrasings will count as mentions of Biden:
"Joe"
"Joseph"
"Biden" (however phrases that don't reference Joe Biden such as Jill Biden or Hunter Biden will NOT count)
“Joe Biden"
"Joseph Biden"
Note that if e.g. he says "Joe Biden's", it only counts as one mention. References to the above names will not count. Pluralization/possessive of the above names will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions "Ron DeSantis" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Only the following phrasings will count as mentions of DeSantis:
"Ron"
"DeSantis"
"Ron DeSantis"
"Ron DeSanctimonious"
"Ron DeSanctus"
Note that if e.g. he says "Ron DeSantis", it only counts as one mention. References to the above names will not count. Pluralization/possessive of the above names will count toward the resolution of this market. If Trump says e.g. "meatball Ron" it will count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions DeSantis more times than he mentions Biden during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." If they have an equal amount of mentions the market resolves to "No."
Only the following phrasings will count as mentions of DeSantis:
"Ron"
"DeSantis"
"Ron DeSantis"
"Ron DeSanctimonious"
"Ron DeSanctus"
Note that if e.g. he says "Ron DeSantis", it only counts as one mention.
Only the following phrasing will count as mentions of Biden:
"Joe"
"Joseph"
"Biden"
“Joe Biden"
"Joseph Biden"
Note that if e.g. he says "Joe Biden's", it only counts as one mention.
Pluralization/possessive of the above names will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No"."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "beautiful" ten or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. beautifully) of the word will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "huge" ten or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. hugely) will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Meatball" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hunter Biden" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive of the full name will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "lock her up" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word "lock" in the phrase will count (e.g. locks her up) - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "January 6", "January 6th", "Jan. 6" or "Jan 6th" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive of the phrases will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rape" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "bigly" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump uses at least one of the following words/phrases during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023:
“AI"
"Artificial Intelligence"
"AGI"
"Artificial General Intelligence"
"GPT"
"GPT-3"
"GPT-4"
"GPT-5"
"LLM"
"Large Language Model"
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the phrases will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Bitcoin" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions Russia/Putin 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
“Russia”
“Russian”
"Russia's"
“Putin”
"Putins"
"Putin's"
Pluralization/possessive of the words above will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
“Russia”
“Russian”
"Russia's"
“Putin”
"Putins"
"Putin's"
Pluralization/possessive of the words above will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
マーケット開始日： May 9, 2023, 5:52 PM ET
音量
$14,740終了日
May 10, 2023マーケット開始日
May 9, 2023, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions Russia/Putin 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
“Russia”
“Russian”
"Russia's"
“Putin”
"Putins"
"Putin's"
Pluralization/possessive of the words above will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions "Joe Biden" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Only the following phrasings will count as mentions of Biden:
"Joe"
"Joseph"
"Biden" (however phrases that don't reference Joe Biden such as Jill Biden or Hunter Biden will NOT count)
“Joe Biden"
"Joseph Biden"
Note that if e.g. he says "Joe Biden's", it only counts as one mention. References to the above names will not count. Pluralization/possessive of the above names will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions "Ron DeSantis" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Only the following phrasings will count as mentions of DeSantis:
"Ron"
"DeSantis"
"Ron DeSantis"
"Ron DeSanctimonious"
"Ron DeSanctus"
Note that if e.g. he says "Ron DeSantis", it only counts as one mention. References to the above names will not count. Pluralization/possessive of the above names will count toward the resolution of this market. If Trump says e.g. "meatball Ron" it will count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions DeSantis more times than he mentions Biden during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." If they have an equal amount of mentions the market resolves to "No."
Only the following phrasings will count as mentions of DeSantis:
"Ron"
"DeSantis"
"Ron DeSantis"
"Ron DeSanctimonious"
"Ron DeSanctus"
Note that if e.g. he says "Ron DeSantis", it only counts as one mention.
Only the following phrasing will count as mentions of Biden:
"Joe"
"Joseph"
"Biden"
“Joe Biden"
"Joseph Biden"
Note that if e.g. he says "Joe Biden's", it only counts as one mention.
Pluralization/possessive of the above names will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No"."This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "beautiful" ten or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. beautifully) of the word will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "huge" ten or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word (e.g. hugely) will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Meatball" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hunter Biden" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive of the full name will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "lock her up" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word "lock" in the phrase will count (e.g. locks her up) - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "January 6", "January 6th", "Jan. 6" or "Jan 6th" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive of the phrases will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rape" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "bigly" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump uses at least one of the following words/phrases during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023:
“AI"
"Artificial Intelligence"
"AGI"
"Artificial General Intelligence"
"GPT"
"GPT-3"
"GPT-4"
"GPT-5"
"LLM"
"Large Language Model"
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
Pluralization/possessive/different tenses of the phrases will count toward the resolution of this market.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Bitcoin" during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump mentions Russia/Putin 5 or more times during his CNN town hall scheduled for 9 PM ET on May 10, 2023. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
“Russia”
“Russian”
"Russia's"
“Putin”
"Putins"
"Putin's"
Pluralization/possessive of the words above will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
“Russia”
“Russian”
"Russia's"
“Putin”
"Putins"
"Putin's"
Pluralization/possessive of the words above will count toward the resolution of this market - mere references will not count.
The resolution source is live video of the CNN town hall. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.
If this event is cancelled or delayed beyond May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
音量
$14,740終了日
May 10, 2023マーケット開始日
May 9, 2023, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
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