Market icon

Time 2025 Person of the Year

Market icon

Time 2025 Person of the Year

Architects of AI / Other 100.0%

Donald Trump <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Charlie Kirk <1%

Polymarket

$55,475,124 Vol.

Architects of AI / Other 100.0%

Donald Trump <1%

Elon Musk <1%

Charlie Kirk <1%

Polymarket

$55,475,124 Vol.

Donald Trump

$8,080,076 Vol.

No

Elon Musk

$2,657,477 Vol.

No

Charlie Kirk

$1,829,608 Vol.

No

Jensen Huang

$2,740,276 Vol.

No

Xi Jinping

$1,514,000 Vol.

No

Sam Altman

$2,153,833 Vol.

No

Pope Francis

$2,885,699 Vol.

No

Jerome Powell

$818,520 Vol.

No

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$1,861,514 Vol.

No

Taylor Swift

$808,448 Vol.

No

Artificial Intelligence

$6,960,359 Vol.

No

LeBron James

$10,523,451 Vol.

No

Pope Leo XIV

$3,669,774 Vol.

No

Benjamin Netanyahu

$3,483,391 Vol.

No

Zohran Mamdani

$1,496,140 Vol.

No

Architects of AI / Other

$3,992,555 Vol.

Yes

If listed person/thing is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if listed person is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as the term is explicitly named.

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover.

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
音量
$55,475,124
終了日
Dec 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2025, 11:01 AM ET
If listed person/thing is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if listed person is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as the term is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2025 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Time 2025 Person of the Year」はPolymarket上の16個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Architects of AI / Other」で100%、次いで「Donald Trump」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Time 2025 Person of the Year」は$55.5 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jun 26, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Time 2025 Person of the Year」で取引するには、このページに記載されている16個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Time 2025 Person of the Year」の現在のフロントランナーは「Architects of AI / Other」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Donald Trump」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Time 2025 Person of the Year」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。