Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Heart for The Hague (HvDH) winning the most seats in The Hague's municipal election, reflecting dominant pre-election polling and exit polls showing the party, led by Richard de Mos, securing around 20-25% of the vote amid strong local support for its focus on housing affordability and anti-establishment messaging. Key drivers include HvDH's incumbency advantages from prior council gains, favorable turnout among urban voters, and minimal competition from fragmented rivals like CU-SGP at under 5%. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from final vote tallies revealing counting errors, coalition maneuvers redefining "winner" criteria, or court challenges to results, though historical precedents favor poll leaders in Dutch local races.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ハーグ市政選挙の勝者
ハーグ市政選挙の勝者
ハート・フォー・ザ・ヘイグ（HvDH） 100.0%
グリーンレフト—労働党（GL–PvdA） <1%
動物の党（PvdD） <1%
キリスト教民主アピール（CDA） <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
グリーンレフト—労働党（GL–PvdA）
いいえ
動物の党（PvdD）
いいえ
キリスト教民主アピール（CDA）
いいえ
デンク（Denk）
いいえ
ハート・フォー・ザ・ヘイグ（HvDH）
はい
ハーグ市民党（HSP）
いいえ
フォーラム・フォー・デモクラシー（FvD）
いいえ
デモクラッツ66（D66）
いいえ
国民自由民主党（VVD）
いいえ
社会党（SP）
いいえ
自由党（PVV）
いいえ
キリスト教連合–SGP（CU–SGP）
いいえ
ハート・フォー・ザ・ヘイグ（HvDH） 100.0%
グリーンレフト—労働党（GL–PvdA） <1%
動物の党（PvdD） <1%
キリスト教民主アピール（CDA） <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 18, 2026
グリーンレフト—労働党（GL–PvdA）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
動物の党（PvdD）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
キリスト教民主アピール（CDA）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
デンク（Denk）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
ハート・フォー・ザ・ヘイグ（HvDH）
$0 Vol.
はい
ハーグ市民党（HSP）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
フォーラム・フォー・デモクラシー（FvD）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
デモクラッツ66（D66）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
国民自由民主党（VVD）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
社会党（SP）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
自由党（PVV）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
キリスト教連合–SGP（CU–SGP）
$0 Vol.
いいえ
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Heart for The Hague (HvDH) winning the most seats in The Hague's municipal election, reflecting dominant pre-election polling and exit polls showing the party, led by Richard de Mos, securing around 20-25% of the vote amid strong local support for its focus on housing affordability and anti-establishment messaging. Key drivers include HvDH's incumbency advantages from prior council gains, favorable turnout among urban voters, and minimal competition from fragmented rivals like CU-SGP at under 5%. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from final vote tallies revealing counting errors, coalition maneuvers redefining "winner" criteria, or court challenges to results, though historical precedents favor poll leaders in Dutch local races.
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
マーケット開始日： Feb 12, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
Mar 18, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Heart for The Hague (HvDH) winning the most seats in The Hague's municipal election, reflecting dominant pre-election polling and exit polls showing the party, led by Richard de Mos, securing around 20-25% of the vote amid strong local support for its focus on housing affordability and anti-establishment messaging. Key drivers include HvDH's incumbency advantages from prior council gains, favorable turnout among urban voters, and minimal competition from fragmented rivals like CU-SGP at under 5%. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from final vote tallies revealing counting errors, coalition maneuvers redefining "winner" criteria, or court challenges to results, though historical precedents favor poll leaders in Dutch local races.
Municipal elections to elect the The Hague Municipal Council are scheduled for March 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
音量
$0終了日
Mar 18, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 12, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to Heart for The Hague (HvDH) winning the most seats in The Hague's municipal election, reflecting dominant pre-election polling and exit polls showing the party, led by Richard de Mos, securing around 20-25% of the vote amid strong local support for its focus on housing affordability and anti-establishment messaging. Key drivers include HvDH's incumbency advantages from prior council gains, favorable turnout among urban voters, and minimal competition from fragmented rivals like CU-SGP at under 5%. Realistic challenges remain slim but could arise from final vote tallies revealing counting errors, coalition maneuvers redefining "winner" criteria, or court challenges to results, though historical precedents favor poll leaders in Dutch local races.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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