Tennessee's Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race, with trader consensus reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and Hagerty's strong fundraising and primary path. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the party's hold on the seat since 1994 and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers ahead of the August primary. The general election on November 3 offers limited realistic pathways for a Democratic victory absent major shifts in voter turnout or national conditions. Potential variables that could influence outcomes include primary dynamics or late-cycle developments, though structural factors like the state's partisan composition have historically limited such impacts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,673 Vol.
$19,673 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
2%
$19,673 Vol.
$19,673 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,651 Vol.
96%
民主党
$9,022 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race, with trader consensus reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and Hagerty's strong fundraising and primary path. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the party's hold on the seat since 1994 and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers ahead of the August primary. The general election on November 3 offers limited realistic pathways for a Democratic victory absent major shifts in voter turnout or national conditions. Potential variables that could influence outcomes include primary dynamics or late-cycle developments, though structural factors like the state's partisan composition have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$19,673終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race, with trader consensus reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and Hagerty's strong fundraising and primary path. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the party's hold on the seat since 1994 and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers ahead of the August primary. The general election on November 3 offers limited realistic pathways for a Democratic victory absent major shifts in voter turnout or national conditions. Potential variables that could influence outcomes include primary dynamics or late-cycle developments, though structural factors like the state's partisan composition have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$19,673終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's Republican incumbent Bill Hagerty holds a commanding position in the 2026 Senate race, with trader consensus reflecting the state's consistent Republican voting patterns and Hagerty's strong fundraising and primary path. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the party's hold on the seat since 1994 and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers ahead of the August primary. The general election on November 3 offers limited realistic pathways for a Democratic victory absent major shifts in voter turnout or national conditions. Potential variables that could influence outcomes include primary dynamics or late-cycle developments, though structural factors like the state's partisan composition have historically limited such impacts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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