The November 29 Spanish general election features Lleida's four-seat Congress district in a closely contested race shaped by Catalonia's distinct dynamics. Recent candidate lists confirm PSC (PSOE) led by Cristina Morón, ERC by Inés Granollers, Junts by Isidre Gavín, and separate Front Ampli and PP/Vox entries, with no broad left or right alliances in the province. Polling averages and seat projections as of early November show PSC, ERC, and Junts each positioned for one seat, with the fourth seat highly sensitive to small vote shifts and turnout among undecided voters. This fragmentation on the independentist and left side, alongside national trends favoring PSOE nationally, underpins trader consensus around PSOE's plurality edge while leaving ERC with meaningful upside. Late campaign events, turnout differentials, or last-minute vote consolidation could still alter the narrow margins.