Market icon

September 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.19 100.0%

<1.00 <1%

1.00-1.04 <1%

1.05-1.09 <1%

Polymarket

$2,415,316 Vol.

This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of a named bracket for September 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for September 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2025 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
音量
$2,415,316
終了日
Oct 11, 2025
作成日時
Sep 12, 2025, 2:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for September 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of a named bracket for September 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for September 2025 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Sep" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for September 2025 is provided by NASA by December 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Market icon

September 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)

>1.19 100.0%

<1.00 <1%

1.00-1.04 <1%

1.05-1.09 <1%

Polymarket

$2,415,316 Vol.

<1.00

$589,173 Vol.

No

1.00-1.04

$793,664 Vol.

No

1.05-1.09

$264,851 Vol.

No

1.10-1.14

$257,523 Vol.

No

1.15-1.19

$236,834 Vol.

No

>1.19

$273,270 Vol.

Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。