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ルーマニアのボロヤン首相が12月31日までに退任?

Market icon

ルーマニアのボロヤン首相が12月31日までに退任?

はい

53% chance
Polymarket

$12,089 Vol.

はい

53% chance
Polymarket

$12,089 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliament rejected Ilie Bolojan's proposed cabinet on December 3, falling short of the 233 votes needed for investiture with 188 in favor amid defections from far-right AUR and SOS Romania parties, despite backing from the PSD-PNL-UDMR coalition. This setback has fueled trader consensus at 51% for Bolojan exiting as prime ministerial designate by year-end, reflecting uncertainty in coalition negotiations following snap parliamentary elections. The race remains competitive due to President Iohannis's mandate to nominate a new candidate within 10 days, compounded by the upcoming presidential election first round on December 8, which could prompt dissolution of parliament or a revised coalition. A swift renomination or broader support could stabilize his position, while repeated failures risk government collapse.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$12,089
終了日
Dec 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Parliament rejected Ilie Bolojan's proposed cabinet on December 3, falling short of the 233 votes needed for investiture with 188 in favor amid defections from far-right AUR and SOS Romania parties, despite backing from the PSD-PNL-UDMR coalition. This setback has fueled trader consensus at 51% for Bolojan exiting as prime ministerial designate by year-end, reflecting uncertainty in coalition negotiations following snap parliamentary elections. The race remains competitive due to President Iohannis's mandate to nominate a new candidate within 10 days, compounded by the upcoming presidential election first round on December 8, which could prompt dissolution of parliament or a revised coalition. A swift renomination or broader support could stabilize his position, while repeated failures risk government collapse.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$12,089
終了日
Dec 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Feb 20, 2026, 4:15 PM ET

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相が12月31日までに退任?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ルーマニアのボロジャン首相は12月31日までに退任?」で53%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、53¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に53%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相が12月31日までに退任?」は$12.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Feb 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相が12月31日までに退任?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相が12月31日までに退任?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ルーマニアのボロジャン首相は12月31日までに退任?」で53%であり、市場がこの結果に53%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ルーマニアのボロヤン首相が12月31日までに退任?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。