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Robinhoodは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を立ち上げますか？

Market icon

Robinhoodは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を立ち上げますか？

はい

1% chance
Polymarket

$336,205 Vol.

はい

1% chance
Polymarket

$336,205 Vol.

Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count. Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational. Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.With the March 31 deadline just days away, trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% on Robinhood launching a prediction market through its newly acquired MIAXdx exchange, a CFTC-licensed derivatives clearing organization purchased via a January 2026 joint venture with Susquehanna International Group. Despite the deal accelerating infrastructure for event contracts—bolstering Robinhood's already booming prediction markets segment, which traded over 9 billion contracts among 1 million users—no self-certification filings, product rollouts, or announcements have emerged in the two-plus months since closing. Regulatory integration hurdles and silence signal low odds of timely execution, though a surprise CFTC approval or abrupt platform debut could still pivot sentiment.

With the March 31 deadline just days away, trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% on Robinhood launching a prediction market through its newly acquired MIAXdx exchange, a CFTC-licensed derivatives clearing organization purchased via a January 2026 joint venture with Susquehanna International Group. Despite the deal accelerating infrastructure for event contracts—bolstering Robinhood's already booming prediction markets segment, which traded over 9 billion contracts among 1 million users—no self-certification filings, product rollouts, or announcements have emerged in the two-plus months since closing. Regulatory integration hurdles and silence signal low odds of timely execution, though a surprise CFTC approval or abrupt platform debut could still pivot sentiment.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count. Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational. Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.With the March 31 deadline just days away, trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% on Robinhood launching a prediction market through its newly acquired MIAXdx exchange, a CFTC-licensed derivatives clearing organization purchased via a January 2026 joint venture with Susquehanna International Group. Despite the deal accelerating infrastructure for event contracts—bolstering Robinhood's already booming prediction markets segment, which traded over 9 billion contracts among 1 million users—no self-certification filings, product rollouts, or announcements have emerged in the two-plus months since closing. Regulatory integration hurdles and silence signal low odds of timely execution, though a surprise CFTC approval or abrupt platform debut could still pivot sentiment.

With the March 31 deadline just days away, trader consensus prices "No" at 98.6% on Robinhood launching a prediction market through its newly acquired MIAXdx exchange, a CFTC-licensed derivatives clearing organization purchased via a January 2026 joint venture with Susquehanna International Group. Despite the deal accelerating infrastructure for event contracts—bolstering Robinhood's already booming prediction markets segment, which traded over 9 billion contracts among 1 million users—no self-certification filings, product rollouts, or announcements have emerged in the two-plus months since closing. Regulatory integration hurdles and silence signal low odds of timely execution, though a surprise CFTC approval or abrupt platform debut could still pivot sentiment.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Robinhoodは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を立ち上げますか？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ロビンフッドは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を開始しますか？」で1%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、1¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に1%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Robinhoodは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を立ち上げますか？」は$336.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 1, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Robinhoodは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を立ち上げますか？」の現在のリーダーは「ロビンフッドは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を開始しますか？」でわずか1%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Robinhoodは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を立ち上げますか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。