Robinhood's joint venture with Susquehanna completed its 90% acquisition of CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange MIAXdx in January 2026, aiming to vertically integrate prediction markets and reduce reliance on partners like Kalshi after trading billions of contracts. Yet, with just days until the March 31 deadline, trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8%, driven by the absence of any self-certification announcements, product rollout, or operational evidence—such as MIAXdx-cleared event contracts live on the platform. Regulatory hurdles, technical integration, and historical timelines for DCM launches underpin this near-certainty, though a surprise CFTC filing or stealth beta could theoretically prompt a late shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Robinhoodは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を立ち上げますか？
Robinhoodは3月31日までにMIAXdxを通じて予測市場を立ち上げますか？
はい
$335,907 Vol.
$335,907 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
はい
$335,907 Vol.
$335,907 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.Robinhood's joint venture with Susquehanna completed its 90% acquisition of CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange MIAXdx in January 2026, aiming to vertically integrate prediction markets and reduce reliance on partners like Kalshi after trading billions of contracts. Yet, with just days until the March 31 deadline, trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8%, driven by the absence of any self-certification announcements, product rollout, or operational evidence—such as MIAXdx-cleared event contracts live on the platform. Regulatory hurdles, technical integration, and historical timelines for DCM launches underpin this near-certainty, though a surprise CFTC filing or stealth beta could theoretically prompt a late shift.
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ET
音量
$335,907終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.Robinhood's joint venture with Susquehanna completed its 90% acquisition of CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange MIAXdx in January 2026, aiming to vertically integrate prediction markets and reduce reliance on partners like Kalshi after trading billions of contracts. Yet, with just days until the March 31 deadline, trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8%, driven by the absence of any self-certification announcements, product rollout, or operational evidence—such as MIAXdx-cleared event contracts live on the platform. Regulatory hurdles, technical integration, and historical timelines for DCM launches underpin this near-certainty, though a surprise CFTC filing or stealth beta could theoretically prompt a late shift.
Robinhood, through a joint venture with Susquehanna International Group, recently acquired a majority stake in MIAXdx, a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-licensed Designated Contract Market and Derivatives Clearing Organization, signaling Robinhood’s intent to deepen its involvement in prediction markets (see: https://robinhood.com/us/en/newsroom/robinhood-prediction-markets-joint-venture/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robinhood makes at least one MIAXdx-cleared prediction market user-tradable on their U.S. platform in any U.S. state by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“MIAXdx-cleared” means the prediction market contract is listed on the MIAXdx Designated Contract Market and subject to MIAXdx clearing. Prediction markets offered by Robinhood through KalshiEX, ForecastEX, or any other exchange will not count.
Announcements alone do not qualify; the product must be operational.
Any rebranding or renaming of MIAXdx will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the Robinhood U.S. trading platform and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$335,907終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Dec 1, 2025, 6:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Robinhood's joint venture with Susquehanna completed its 90% acquisition of CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange MIAXdx in January 2026, aiming to vertically integrate prediction markets and reduce reliance on partners like Kalshi after trading billions of contracts. Yet, with just days until the March 31 deadline, trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8%, driven by the absence of any self-certification announcements, product rollout, or operational evidence—such as MIAXdx-cleared event contracts live on the platform. Regulatory hurdles, technical integration, and historical timelines for DCM launches underpin this near-certainty, though a surprise CFTC filing or stealth beta could theoretically prompt a late shift.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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