Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "Reminders of Him" delivering $16-19 million in opening weekend domestic box office, with 99.4% implied probability, propelled by Colleen Hoover's red-hot brand momentum following "It Ends With Us'" $80 million-plus debut. Robust Thursday previews exceeding $3 million, fueled by BookTok superfans and strong pre-sales in female-skewing demographics, align with historical rom-drama trends like "The Notebook" sequels in adjusted dollars. Positive early buzz from test screenings and minimal competition from family counterprogramming further solidify this positioning. Realistic upsets could stem from scathing critic reviews tanking word-of-mouth, unexpected walkouts over sensitive themes, or severe weather disrupting turnout, potentially dipping below $13 million as traders price at just 0.1%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日「リマインダー・オブ・ヒム」オープニング・ウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「リマインダー・オブ・ヒム」オープニング・ウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
1600万〜1900万 100.0%
1,300万未満 <1%
1300万~1600万 <1%
1,900万~2,200万 <1%
$145,967 Vol.
$145,967 Vol.
1,300万未満
いいえ
1300万~1600万
いいえ
1600万〜1900万
はい
1,900万~2,200万
いいえ
2,200万ドル超
いいえ
1600万〜1900万 100.0%
1,300万未満 <1%
1300万~1600万 <1%
1,900万~2,200万 <1%
$145,967 Vol.
$145,967 Vol.
1,300万未満
いいえ
1300万~1600万
いいえ
1600万〜1900万
はい
1,900万~2,200万
いいえ
2,200万ドル超
いいえ
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by March 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日: Mar 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs "Reminders of Him" delivering $16-19 million in opening weekend domestic box office, with 99.4% implied probability, propelled by Colleen Hoover's red-hot brand momentum following "It Ends With Us'" $80 million-plus debut. Robust Thursday previews exceeding $3 million, fueled by BookTok superfans and strong pre-sales in female-skewing demographics, align with historical rom-drama trends like "The Notebook" sequels in adjusted dollars. Positive early buzz from test screenings and minimal competition from family counterprogramming further solidify this positioning. Realistic upsets could stem from scathing critic reviews tanking word-of-mouth, unexpected walkouts over sensitive themes, or severe weather disrupting turnout, potentially dipping below $13 million as traders price at just 0.1%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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