Democratic incumbent Janelle Bynum secured her party’s nomination for Oregon’s 5th congressional district on May 19, 2026, defeating a primary challenger with roughly 83 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Patti Adair also advanced after winning her primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, citing Bynum’s 2024 victory that flipped the district, Kamala Harris’s stronger performance there relative to national results, and limited Republican recruitment. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee heading into the November general election, while the district’s modest partisan lean and history of competitive margins keep the outcome from reaching near-certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
84%
共和党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$367 Vol.
84%
共和党
$137 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Janelle Bynum secured her party’s nomination for Oregon’s 5th congressional district on May 19, 2026, defeating a primary challenger with roughly 83 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Patti Adair also advanced after winning her primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, citing Bynum’s 2024 victory that flipped the district, Kamala Harris’s stronger performance there relative to national results, and limited Republican recruitment. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee heading into the November general election, while the district’s modest partisan lean and history of competitive margins keep the outcome from reaching near-certainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$504終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Janelle Bynum secured her party’s nomination for Oregon’s 5th congressional district on May 19, 2026, defeating a primary challenger with roughly 83 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Patti Adair also advanced after winning her primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, citing Bynum’s 2024 victory that flipped the district, Kamala Harris’s stronger performance there relative to national results, and limited Republican recruitment. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee heading into the November general election, while the district’s modest partisan lean and history of competitive margins keep the outcome from reaching near-certainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$504終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Janelle Bynum secured her party’s nomination for Oregon’s 5th congressional district on May 19, 2026, defeating a primary challenger with roughly 83 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Patti Adair also advanced after winning her primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, citing Bynum’s 2024 victory that flipped the district, Kamala Harris’s stronger performance there relative to national results, and limited Republican recruitment. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee heading into the November general election, while the district’s modest partisan lean and history of competitive margins keep the outcome from reaching near-certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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