Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 5th congressional district with over 80 percent of the primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican Patti Adair won her nomination to challenge for the seat. The district, which Bynum flipped from Republican control in 2024, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in recent partisan voting indexes and Kamala Harris's 2024 performance there. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as likely Democratic, citing the absence of high-profile Republican challengers and Bynum's established fundraising and name recognition. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 83.5 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, consistent with the incumbent's structural advantages and limited competitive pressure observed in early assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
86%
共和党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$367 Vol.
86%
共和党
$137 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 5th congressional district with over 80 percent of the primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican Patti Adair won her nomination to challenge for the seat. The district, which Bynum flipped from Republican control in 2024, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in recent partisan voting indexes and Kamala Harris's 2024 performance there. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as likely Democratic, citing the absence of high-profile Republican challengers and Bynum's established fundraising and name recognition. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 83.5 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, consistent with the incumbent's structural advantages and limited competitive pressure observed in early assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
音量
$504終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 5th congressional district with over 80 percent of the primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican Patti Adair won her nomination to challenge for the seat. The district, which Bynum flipped from Republican control in 2024, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in recent partisan voting indexes and Kamala Harris's 2024 performance there. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as likely Democratic, citing the absence of high-profile Republican challengers and Bynum's established fundraising and name recognition. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 83.5 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, consistent with the incumbent's structural advantages and limited competitive pressure observed in early assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$504終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Janelle Bynum secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 5th congressional district with over 80 percent of the primary vote on May 19, 2026, while Republican Patti Adair won her nomination to challenge for the seat. The district, which Bynum flipped from Republican control in 2024, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in recent partisan voting indexes and Kamala Harris's 2024 performance there. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as likely Democratic, citing the absence of high-profile Republican challengers and Bynum's established fundraising and name recognition. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 83.5 percent implied probability of winning the November general election, consistent with the incumbent's structural advantages and limited competitive pressure observed in early assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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