Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created when incumbent Kevin Hern launched a U.S. Senate bid in March 2026, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field scheduled for June 16, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee and the district’s consistent electoral patterns. Traders’ 87 percent implied probability for a Republican winner tracks the structural advantage and absence of polling shifts or external events that would alter the expected November outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$6,313 Vol.
87%
民主党
$5,540 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created when incumbent Kevin Hern launched a U.S. Senate bid in March 2026, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field scheduled for June 16, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee and the district’s consistent electoral patterns. Traders’ 87 percent implied probability for a Republican winner tracks the structural advantage and absence of polling shifts or external events that would alter the expected November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$11,853終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created when incumbent Kevin Hern launched a U.S. Senate bid in March 2026, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field scheduled for June 16, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee and the district’s consistent electoral patterns. Traders’ 87 percent implied probability for a Republican winner tracks the structural advantage and absence of polling shifts or external events that would alter the expected November outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,853終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and a history of double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created when incumbent Kevin Hern launched a U.S. Senate bid in March 2026, has drawn a crowded Republican primary field scheduled for June 16, while Democrat John Croisant advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for the Democratic nominee and the district’s consistent electoral patterns. Traders’ 87 percent implied probability for a Republican winner tracks the structural advantage and absence of polling shifts or external events that would alter the expected November outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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