The solidly Republican tilt of Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on the Tulsa area and carrying an R+11 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded Republican primary field of 11 candidates ahead of the June 16 contest, while Democrat John Croisant stands as the unopposed general-election nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the party’s consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and the absence of any recent polling or events that would narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$11,853 Vol.
$11,853 Vol.
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican tilt of Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District, centered on the Tulsa area and carrying an R+11 partisan voting index, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Kevin Hern’s March 2026 decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate seat created an open House race, drawing a crowded Republican primary field of 11 candidates ahead of the June 16 contest, while Democrat John Croisant stands as the unopposed general-election nominee. Race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the party’s consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and the absence of any recent polling or events that would narrow the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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