Incumbent Republican Michael Turner faces Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in the November 3, 2026, general election for Ohio’s 10th congressional district after both secured their party nominations in the May 5 primaries. The district carries a Republican-leaning Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+3 to R+4, and all major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Turner’s long tenure and lack of primary opposition reinforce the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 74 percent, while the Democratic nominee’s path remains constrained by the district’s underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns. No major developments in the past month have altered these fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,922 Vol.
$17,922 Vol.
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$17,922 Vol.
$17,922 Vol.
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Turner faces Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in the November 3, 2026, general election for Ohio’s 10th congressional district after both secured their party nominations in the May 5 primaries. The district carries a Republican-leaning Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+3 to R+4, and all major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Turner’s long tenure and lack of primary opposition reinforce the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 74 percent, while the Democratic nominee’s path remains constrained by the district’s underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns. No major developments in the past month have altered these fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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