**Pheu Thai Party (PT) secured 74 seats in Thailand's February 8, 2026, snap legislative election—triggered by the House of Representatives' dissolution on December 12, 2025—driving trader consensus to price the 70–79 seats bin at 100%.** This outcome marks a sharp decline from PT's 141 seats in 2023, attributed to internal turmoil including two prime ministers ousted amid coalition fractures, voter backlash against Shinawatra family influence, and a surge in nationalist support for Bhumjaithai (193 seats) fueled by Cambodia border tensions. The Election Commission certified 499 of 500 seats on March 4, with parliament opening March 14 amid minor ballot scrutiny. While court challenges or the pending seat could theoretically alter tallies, certification solidifies PT's position barring late reversals. Coalition talks position PT as a junior partner in Bhumjaithai's government formation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日110以上 <1%
$170,487 Vol.
$170,487 Vol.
110以上
<1%
110以上 <1%
$170,487 Vol.
$170,487 Vol.
110以上
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
マーケット開始日: Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
最終審査
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立て
最終審査
**Pheu Thai Party (PT) secured 74 seats in Thailand's February 8, 2026, snap legislative election—triggered by the House of Representatives' dissolution on December 12, 2025—driving trader consensus to price the 70–79 seats bin at 100%.** This outcome marks a sharp decline from PT's 141 seats in 2023, attributed to internal turmoil including two prime ministers ousted amid coalition fractures, voter backlash against Shinawatra family influence, and a surge in nationalist support for Bhumjaithai (193 seats) fueled by Cambodia border tensions. The Election Commission certified 499 of 500 seats on March 4, with parliament opening March 14 amid minor ballot scrutiny. While court challenges or the pending seat could theoretically alter tallies, certification solidifies PT's position barring late reversals. Coalition talks position PT as a junior partner in Bhumjaithai's government formation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問