Market icon
世界·タイ選挙

2026年のタイ議会選挙でPTが獲得した議席数は？

Market icon
世界·タイ選挙

2026年のタイ議会選挙でPTが獲得した議席数は？

110以上 <1%

Polymarket

$306,187 Vol.

110以上 <1%

Polymarket

$306,187 Vol.

110以上

$135,700 Vol.

<1%

The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Thailand's Election Commission certified 499 of 500 House of Representatives seats on March 4, 2026, confirming Pheu Thai Party (PT) secured 74 seats—58 from constituencies and 16 from the party-list—following the February 8 snap election triggered by the December 2025 dissolution. This outcome, a decline from PT's prior showings amid Bhumjaithai's surge to 192 seats on nationalist border rhetoric and People's Party's 120, drives trader consensus to overwhelming agreement on the 70–79 range, reflecting certified results and resolved post-election recounts in select stations. Coalition talks between Bhumjaithai and PT further stabilize the tally. Only an improbable Constitutional Court ruling on March 18 ballot complaints or reallocation of the final seat could shift odds, though no evidence suggests PT gains.

Thailand's Election Commission certified 499 of 500 House of Representatives seats on March 4, 2026, confirming Pheu Thai Party (PT) secured 74 seats—58 from constituencies and 16 from the party-list—following the February 8 snap election triggered by the December 2025 dissolution. This outcome, a decline from PT's prior showings amid Bhumjaithai's surge to 192 seats on nationalist border rhetoric and People's Party's 120, drives trader consensus to overwhelming agreement on the 70–79 range, reflecting certified results and resolved post-election recounts in select stations. Coalition talks between Bhumjaithai and PT further stabilize the tally. Only an improbable Constitutional Court ruling on March 18 ballot complaints or reallocation of the final seat could shift odds, though no evidence suggests PT gains.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon). This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election. This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.Thailand's Election Commission certified 499 of 500 House of Representatives seats on March 4, 2026, confirming Pheu Thai Party (PT) secured 74 seats—58 from constituencies and 16 from the party-list—following the February 8 snap election triggered by the December 2025 dissolution. This outcome, a decline from PT's prior showings amid Bhumjaithai's surge to 192 seats on nationalist border rhetoric and People's Party's 120, drives trader consensus to overwhelming agreement on the 70–79 range, reflecting certified results and resolved post-election recounts in select stations. Coalition talks between Bhumjaithai and PT further stabilize the tally. Only an improbable Constitutional Court ruling on March 18 ballot complaints or reallocation of the final seat could shift odds, though no evidence suggests PT gains.

Thailand's Election Commission certified 499 of 500 House of Representatives seats on March 4, 2026, confirming Pheu Thai Party (PT) secured 74 seats—58 from constituencies and 16 from the party-list—following the February 8 snap election triggered by the December 2025 dissolution. This outcome, a decline from PT's prior showings amid Bhumjaithai's surge to 192 seats on nationalist border rhetoric and People's Party's 120, drives trader consensus to overwhelming agreement on the 70–79 range, reflecting certified results and resolved post-election recounts in select stations. Coalition talks between Bhumjaithai and PT further stabilize the tally. Only an improbable Constitutional Court ruling on March 18 ballot complaints or reallocation of the final seat could shift odds, though no evidence suggests PT gains.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年のタイ議会選挙でPTが獲得した議席数は？」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「70〜79」で100%、次いで「110以上」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年のタイ議会選挙でPTが獲得した議席数は？」は$306.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年のタイ議会選挙でPTが獲得した議席数は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年のタイ議会選挙でPTが獲得した議席数は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「70〜79」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「110以上」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年のタイ議会選挙でPTが獲得した議席数は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。