Democratic incumbent Susie Lee seeks re-election in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Las Vegas seat rated Lean Democratic by forecasters with a narrow partisan voting index favoring her party. Lee’s 2024 victory by roughly two points and established fundraising position the Democratic nominee as the frontrunner ahead of the June 9 primaries, where she faces limited intra-party opposition while Republicans field a crowded field including Aury Nagy, Marty O’Donnell, and Jeff Gunter. The November 3 general election remains competitive given the district’s history of close margins and potential statewide Republican momentum tied to Governor Lombardo’s performance. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 59.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and local voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
77%
共和党
18%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$332 Vol.
77%
共和党
$95 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Susie Lee seeks re-election in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Las Vegas seat rated Lean Democratic by forecasters with a narrow partisan voting index favoring her party. Lee’s 2024 victory by roughly two points and established fundraising position the Democratic nominee as the frontrunner ahead of the June 9 primaries, where she faces limited intra-party opposition while Republicans field a crowded field including Aury Nagy, Marty O’Donnell, and Jeff Gunter. The November 3 general election remains competitive given the district’s history of close margins and potential statewide Republican momentum tied to Governor Lombardo’s performance. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 59.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and local voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$427終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Susie Lee seeks re-election in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Las Vegas seat rated Lean Democratic by forecasters with a narrow partisan voting index favoring her party. Lee’s 2024 victory by roughly two points and established fundraising position the Democratic nominee as the frontrunner ahead of the June 9 primaries, where she faces limited intra-party opposition while Republicans field a crowded field including Aury Nagy, Marty O’Donnell, and Jeff Gunter. The November 3 general election remains competitive given the district’s history of close margins and potential statewide Republican momentum tied to Governor Lombardo’s performance. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 59.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and local voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$427終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Susie Lee seeks re-election in Nevada’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Las Vegas seat rated Lean Democratic by forecasters with a narrow partisan voting index favoring her party. Lee’s 2024 victory by roughly two points and established fundraising position the Democratic nominee as the frontrunner ahead of the June 9 primaries, where she faces limited intra-party opposition while Republicans field a crowded field including Aury Nagy, Marty O’Donnell, and Jeff Gunter. The November 3 general election remains competitive given the district’s history of close margins and potential statewide Republican momentum tied to Governor Lombardo’s performance. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 59.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and local voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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