Democratic incumbent Susie Lee holds a structural edge in Nevada’s 3rd District, a seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Partisan Voter Index of D+1. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts place the race in the Democratic column ahead of the November 2026 general election, while Republican primary candidates on June 9 face an uphill climb in a district that has supported Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s name recognition and fundraising against the limited Republican upside even in a favorable gubernatorial environment, producing the current 77-20 implied probability split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
77%
共和党
19%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$332 Vol.
77%
共和党
$95 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Susie Lee holds a structural edge in Nevada’s 3rd District, a seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Partisan Voter Index of D+1. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts place the race in the Democratic column ahead of the November 2026 general election, while Republican primary candidates on June 9 face an uphill climb in a district that has supported Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s name recognition and fundraising against the limited Republican upside even in a favorable gubernatorial environment, producing the current 77-20 implied probability split.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$427終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Susie Lee holds a structural edge in Nevada’s 3rd District, a seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Partisan Voter Index of D+1. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts place the race in the Democratic column ahead of the November 2026 general election, while Republican primary candidates on June 9 face an uphill climb in a district that has supported Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s name recognition and fundraising against the limited Republican upside even in a favorable gubernatorial environment, producing the current 77-20 implied probability split.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$427終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Susie Lee holds a structural edge in Nevada’s 3rd District, a seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Partisan Voter Index of D+1. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts place the race in the Democratic column ahead of the November 2026 general election, while Republican primary candidates on June 9 face an uphill climb in a district that has supported Democratic presidential candidates in recent cycles. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent’s name recognition and fundraising against the limited Republican upside even in a favorable gubernatorial environment, producing the current 77-20 implied probability split.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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