Magnus Carlsen enters as the clear consensus favorite in the six-player double round-robin at Norway Chess 2026, driven by his 2840 rating, seven prior tournament titles, and substantial home advantage in the new Oslo venue. The field features strong challengers including Vincent Keymer, reigning world champion Gukesh Dommaraju, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, Wesley So, and Alireza Firouzja, all ranked in the global top 11 and carrying recent classical form. Keymer’s rising trajectory and the Indian duo’s head-to-head results against Carlsen provide the main paths for an upset, though the Norwegian’s experience in this format continues to shape trader pricing ahead of the May 25 start.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Magnus Carlsen 66%
Vincent Keymer 12%
Gukesh Dommaraju 9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 8%
$11,127 Vol.
$11,127 Vol.
Magnus Carlsen
66%
Vincent Keymer
12%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
8%
Wesley So
7%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Magnus Carlsen 66%
Vincent Keymer 12%
Gukesh Dommaraju 9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu 8%
$11,127 Vol.
$11,127 Vol.
Magnus Carlsen
66%
Vincent Keymer
12%
Gukesh Dommaraju
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
8%
Wesley So
7%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Magnus Carlsen enters as the clear consensus favorite in the six-player double round-robin at Norway Chess 2026, driven by his 2840 rating, seven prior tournament titles, and substantial home advantage in the new Oslo venue. The field features strong challengers including Vincent Keymer, reigning world champion Gukesh Dommaraju, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, Wesley So, and Alireza Firouzja, all ranked in the global top 11 and carrying recent classical form. Keymer’s rising trajectory and the Indian duo’s head-to-head results against Carlsen provide the main paths for an upset, though the Norwegian’s experience in this format continues to shape trader pricing ahead of the May 25 start.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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