Polymarket traders price a dominant 75% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of March 23 between $90 and $100, reflecting the stock's tight consolidation around the $94 level after a 2% pullback last week amid broader tech sector rotation out of growth names. This positioning stems from recent subscriber growth deceleration reported in Q4 results, offset partially by robust ad-tier revenue acceleration to 35% of sign-ups, keeping valuation metrics like forward P/E near 35x in check. The secondary $80-$90 outcome at 17% accounts for recession risks weighing on discretionary spending, while negligible odds above $110 signal caution ahead of Q1 earnings in late April. Upcoming catalysts include FOMC policy signals and nonfarm payrolls data that could influence risk appetite for high-beta names like NFLX.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日90~100ドル 87%
80〜90ドル 8%
$100〜$110 1.8%
$70〜$80 1.4%
$65,832 Vol.
$65,832 Vol.
50ドル未満
<1%
50~60ドル
<1%
60〜70ドル
<1%
$70〜$80
1%
80〜90ドル
20%
90~100ドル
79%
$100〜$110
2%
110~120ドル
1%
120ドル〜130ドル
<1%
$130~$140
<1%
140ドル超
<1%
90~100ドル 87%
80〜90ドル 8%
$100〜$110 1.8%
$70〜$80 1.4%
$65,832 Vol.
$65,832 Vol.
50ドル未満
<1%
50~60ドル
<1%
60〜70ドル
<1%
$70〜$80
1%
80〜90ドル
20%
90~100ドル
79%
$100〜$110
2%
110~120ドル
1%
120ドル〜130ドル
<1%
$130~$140
<1%
140ドル超
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a dominant 75% implied probability for Netflix (NFLX) shares closing the week of March 23 between $90 and $100, reflecting the stock's tight consolidation around the $94 level after a 2% pullback last week amid broader tech sector rotation out of growth names. This positioning stems from recent subscriber growth deceleration reported in Q4 results, offset partially by robust ad-tier revenue acceleration to 35% of sign-ups, keeping valuation metrics like forward P/E near 35x in check. The secondary $80-$90 outcome at 17% accounts for recession risks weighing on discretionary spending, while negligible odds above $110 signal caution ahead of Q1 earnings in late April. Upcoming catalysts include FOMC policy signals and nonfarm payrolls data that could influence risk appetite for high-beta names like NFLX.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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