Lê Minh Hưng's commanding 95% implied probability as next Prime Minister stems from his Politburo elevation at the January 2026 Communist Party Congress, where incumbent Phạm Minh Chính was not retained, combined with his role as Head of the Central Organization Commission—key for personnel decisions. The party's March 23 plenum is finalizing nominations ahead of the National Assembly's first session starting April 6, following its sweep of 97% seats in the March 15 elections. High trading volume underscores trader consensus on his technocratic credentials as former State Bank Governor. Upsets would require rare last-minute Politburo reversal, scandal, or health issues favoring alternatives like Trần Lưu Quang.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日レ・ミン・フン 95.2%
チャン・ルー・クアン 4.3%
ファム・ミン・チン <1%
ルオン・タム・クアン <1%
$14,157,809 Vol.
$14,157,809 Vol.

レ・ミン・フン
95%

チャン・ルー・クアン
4%

ファム・ミン・チン
<1%

ルオン・タム・クアン
<1%

ファム・ティ・タン・チャー
<1%

レ・ホアイ・チュン
<1%

グエン・ホア・ビン
<1%
レ・ミン・フン 95.2%
チャン・ルー・クアン 4.3%
ファム・ミン・チン <1%
ルオン・タム・クアン <1%
$14,157,809 Vol.
$14,157,809 Vol.

レ・ミン・フン
95%

チャン・ルー・クアン
4%

ファム・ミン・チン
<1%

ルオン・タム・クアン
<1%

ファム・ティ・タン・チャー
<1%

レ・ホアイ・チュン
<1%

グエン・ホア・ビン
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Jan 20, 2026, 10:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly and officially assumes office as Prime Minister of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must formally assume the office of Prime Minister. Any acting, interim, or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lê Minh Hưng's commanding 95% implied probability as next Prime Minister stems from his Politburo elevation at the January 2026 Communist Party Congress, where incumbent Phạm Minh Chính was not retained, combined with his role as Head of the Central Organization Commission—key for personnel decisions. The party's March 23 plenum is finalizing nominations ahead of the National Assembly's first session starting April 6, following its sweep of 97% seats in the March 15 elections. High trading volume underscores trader consensus on his technocratic credentials as former State Bank Governor. Upsets would require rare last-minute Politburo reversal, scandal, or health issues favoring alternatives like Trần Lưu Quang.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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