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Next Prime Minister of Australia?

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Next Prime Minister of Australia?

Anthony Albanese 100.0%

Peter Dutton <1%

Tanya Plibersek <1%

Jim Chalmers  <1%

Polymarket

$8,620,989 Vol.

Anthony Albanese 100.0%

Peter Dutton <1%

Tanya Plibersek <1%

Jim Chalmers  <1%

Polymarket

$8,620,989 Vol.

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Peter Dutton

$3,353,767 Vol.

No

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Tanya Plibersek

$618,897 Vol.

No

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Jim Chalmers

$443,767 Vol.

No

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Anthony Albanese

$4,204,557 Vol.

Yes

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Dutton is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tanya Plibersek is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Chalmers is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthony Albanese is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Dutton is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tanya Plibersek is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Chalmers is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthony Albanese is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「Next Prime Minister of Australia?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Anthony Albanese」で100%、次いで「Peter Dutton」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Next Prime Minister of Australia?」は$8.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Next Prime Minister of Australia?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next Prime Minister of Australia?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Anthony Albanese」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Peter Dutton」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next Prime Minister of Australia?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。