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政治·ドイツ選挙

Next Chancellor of Germany?

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政治·ドイツ選挙

Next Chancellor of Germany?

Friedrich Merz (CDU) 100.0%

Robert Habeck (Greens) <1%

Jan van Aken (The Left) <1%

Christian Lindner (FDP) <1%

Polymarket

$40,890,461 Vol.

Friedrich Merz (CDU) 100.0%

Robert Habeck (Greens) <1%

Jan van Aken (The Left) <1%

Christian Lindner (FDP) <1%

Polymarket

$40,890,461 Vol.

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Robert Habeck (Greens)

$4,469,234 Vol.

No

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Jan van Aken (The Left)

$3,638,280 Vol.

No

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Christian Lindner (FDP)

$4,150,680 Vol.

No

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Heidi Reichinnek (The Left)

$9,431,118 Vol.

No

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Friedrich Merz (CDU)

$8,653,917 Vol.

Yes

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Olaf Scholz (SPD)

$2,731,767 Vol.

No

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Alice Weidel (AfD)

$7,815,464 Vol.

No

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert Habeck is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jan van Aken is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christian Lindner is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Heidi Reichinnek is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Friedrich Merz is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Olaf Scholz is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alice Weidel is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robert Habeck is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jan van Aken is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Christian Lindner is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Heidi Reichinnek is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Friedrich Merz is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Olaf Scholz is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.German Federal elections to elect the 21st Bundestag are scheduled to take place February 23, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alice Weidel is the next Chancellor of Germany following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Chancellor of Germany is announced by June 30, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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よくある質問

「Next Chancellor of Germany? 」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Friedrich Merz (CDU)」で100%、次いで「Robert Habeck (Greens)」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Next Chancellor of Germany? 」は$40.9 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 16, 2024のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Next Chancellor of Germany? 」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next Chancellor of Germany? 」の現在のフロントランナーは「Friedrich Merz (CDU)」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Robert Habeck (Greens)」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next Chancellor of Germany? 」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。