The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district, where the partisan voting index and recent redistricting have entrenched a clear structural advantage for the party. Incumbent Pat Harrigan advanced easily through the March 2026 Republican primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote, while Democratic nominee Ashley Bell emerged from a fragmented field after the same primary cycle. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders see limited paths for an upset absent major shifts in turnout patterns or unforeseen developments. The current market pricing aligns with historical performance in this safely Republican seat and the absence of competitive polling signals that would suggest a closer contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日共和党
83%
民主党
12%
共和党
83%
民主党
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 10th congressional district, where the partisan voting index and recent redistricting have entrenched a clear structural advantage for the party. Incumbent Pat Harrigan advanced easily through the March 2026 Republican primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote, while Democratic nominee Ashley Bell emerged from a fragmented field after the same primary cycle. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, traders see limited paths for an upset absent major shifts in turnout patterns or unforeseen developments. The current market pricing aligns with historical performance in this safely Republican seat and the absence of competitive polling signals that would suggest a closer contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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