LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency this summer after opting into his $52.6 million player option for the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the Lakers as the clear frontrunner at 55.5% implied probability given his long-term ties to the franchise and standout playoff contributions alongside a younger core. Recent roster priorities around Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves have created cap constraints that could require a reduced deal, yet insiders highlight James' preference for continuity in Los Angeles over a major relocation at age 41. The Clippers sit second at 28.6% due to local familiarity and potential mid-level exception flexibility, while the Rockets at 22.6% reflect interest in veteran leadership for their rising young roster. Broader market pricing captures uncertainty around retirement or a pay-cut return to Cleveland, tempered by historical performance splits and schedule demands that favor familiar environments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日NBA: LeBron James Next Team
Los Angeles Lakers 43%
Cleveland Cavaliers 20%
Philadelphia 76ers 13.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 10.0%
$14,692 Vol.
$14,692 Vol.
Los Angeles Lakers
53%
Cleveland Cavaliers
20%
Philadelphia 76ers
13%
Portland Trail Blazers
10%
Golden State Warriors
16%
Dallas Mavericks
7%
Phoenix Suns
4%
San Antonio Spurs
4%
Boston Celtics
2%
New York Knicks
10%
Minnesota Timberwolves
1%
Detroit Pistons
1%
Charlotte Hornets
1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Miami Heat
13%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
5%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Los Angeles Clippers
29%
Los Angeles Lakers 43%
Cleveland Cavaliers 20%
Philadelphia 76ers 13.3%
Portland Trail Blazers 10.0%
$14,692 Vol.
$14,692 Vol.
Los Angeles Lakers
53%
Cleveland Cavaliers
20%
Philadelphia 76ers
13%
Portland Trail Blazers
10%
Golden State Warriors
16%
Dallas Mavericks
7%
Phoenix Suns
4%
San Antonio Spurs
4%
Boston Celtics
2%
New York Knicks
10%
Minnesota Timberwolves
1%
Detroit Pistons
1%
Charlotte Hornets
1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Miami Heat
13%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
5%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Toronto Raptors
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
Los Angeles Clippers
29%
If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”.
If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...LeBron James enters unrestricted free agency this summer after opting into his $52.6 million player option for the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the Lakers as the clear frontrunner at 55.5% implied probability given his long-term ties to the franchise and standout playoff contributions alongside a younger core. Recent roster priorities around Luka Dončić and Austin Reaves have created cap constraints that could require a reduced deal, yet insiders highlight James' preference for continuity in Los Angeles over a major relocation at age 41. The Clippers sit second at 28.6% due to local familiarity and potential mid-level exception flexibility, while the Rockets at 22.6% reflect interest in veteran leadership for their rising young roster. Broader market pricing captures uncertainty around retirement or a pay-cut return to Cleveland, tempered by historical performance splits and schedule demands that favor familiar environments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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