Market icon

ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?

はい

13% chance
Polymarket

$159,780 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in direct connection with the kidnapping of Nancy Guthrie by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the kidnapping itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct will not qualify.

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant is being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$159,780
終了日
Feb 28, 2026
作成日時
Feb 10, 2026, 1:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in direct connection with the kidnapping of Nancy Guthrie by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the kidnapping itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct will not qualify. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant is being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立て

最終異議申し立て

最終

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ナンシー・ガスリーの誘拐犯は2月28日までに逮捕されましたか?" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?" has generated $159.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?" is "ナンシー・ガスリーの誘拐犯は2月28日までに逮捕されましたか?" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?

はい

13% chance
Polymarket

$159,780 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in direct connection with the kidnapping of Nancy Guthrie by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the kidnapping itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct will not qualify.

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant is being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$159,780
終了日
Feb 28, 2026
作成日時
Feb 10, 2026, 1:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in direct connection with the kidnapping of Nancy Guthrie by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the kidnapping itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct will not qualify. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant is being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立て

最終異議申し立て

最終

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ナンシー・ガスリーの誘拐犯は2月28日までに逮捕されましたか?" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?" has generated $159.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?" is "ナンシー・ガスリーの誘拐犯は2月28日までに逮捕されましたか?" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "ナンシー・ガスリー誘拐犯2月28日までに逮捕?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.