Missouri's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election outcome. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary between incumbent Wesley Bell and challenger Cori Bush will determine the nominee but does not alter the general election landscape, where Republican candidates have historically drawn under 20 percent. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or unexpected court-ordered redistricting changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,810 Vol.
$23,810 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
4%
$23,810 Vol.
$23,810 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,661 Vol.
93%
共和党
$10,149 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election outcome. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary between incumbent Wesley Bell and challenger Cori Bush will determine the nominee but does not alter the general election landscape, where Republican candidates have historically drawn under 20 percent. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or unexpected court-ordered redistricting changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$23,810終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election outcome. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary between incumbent Wesley Bell and challenger Cori Bush will determine the nominee but does not alter the general election landscape, where Republican candidates have historically drawn under 20 percent. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or unexpected court-ordered redistricting changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,810終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the 2024 general election outcome. Analyst ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primary between incumbent Wesley Bell and challenger Cori Bush will determine the nominee but does not alter the general election landscape, where Republican candidates have historically drawn under 20 percent. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural advantages and limited recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns. Late developments such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or unexpected court-ordered redistricting changes remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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