The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's established D+11 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points. Kelly Morrison faces minimal primary opposition within her party ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries, while Republican contenders remain limited and untested in a general election context. Historical patterns show no GOP win here since 2016, reinforcing trader consensus around the implied probability. A late surge by a well-funded Republican nominee, significant national midterm shifts, or unusually high turnout among suburban voters could narrow the gap before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,309 Vol.
92%
共和党
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's established D+11 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points. Kelly Morrison faces minimal primary opposition within her party ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries, while Republican contenders remain limited and untested in a general election context. Historical patterns show no GOP win here since 2016, reinforcing trader consensus around the implied probability. A late surge by a well-funded Republican nominee, significant national midterm shifts, or unusually high turnout among suburban voters could narrow the gap before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,202終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's established D+11 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points. Kelly Morrison faces minimal primary opposition within her party ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries, while Republican contenders remain limited and untested in a general election context. Historical patterns show no GOP win here since 2016, reinforcing trader consensus around the implied probability. A late surge by a well-funded Republican nominee, significant national midterm shifts, or unusually high turnout among suburban voters could narrow the gap before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,202終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding lead in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's established D+11 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 2024 victory margin exceeding 16 points. Kelly Morrison faces minimal primary opposition within her party ahead of the August 11, 2026, primaries, while Republican contenders remain limited and untested in a general election context. Historical patterns show no GOP win here since 2016, reinforcing trader consensus around the implied probability. A late surge by a well-funded Republican nominee, significant national midterm shifts, or unusually high turnout among suburban voters could narrow the gap before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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