Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd district, a suburban Minneapolis area rated D+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morrison secured 58.4 percent in 2024, and forecasters see limited crossover potential given consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles. The Republican primary field remains thin, featuring Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock with primaries set for August 11, 2026. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural tilt and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. A national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,309 Vol.
92%
共和党
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd district, a suburban Minneapolis area rated D+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morrison secured 58.4 percent in 2024, and forecasters see limited crossover potential given consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles. The Republican primary field remains thin, featuring Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock with primaries set for August 11, 2026. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural tilt and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. A national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,202終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd district, a suburban Minneapolis area rated D+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morrison secured 58.4 percent in 2024, and forecasters see limited crossover potential given consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles. The Republican primary field remains thin, featuring Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock with primaries set for August 11, 2026. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural tilt and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. A national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,202終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 3rd district, a suburban Minneapolis area rated D+11 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and classified Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morrison secured 58.4 percent in 2024, and forecasters see limited crossover potential given consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House cycles. The Republican primary field remains thin, featuring Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock with primaries set for August 11, 2026. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural tilt and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions that would alter the balance before the November 3 general election. A national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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