Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin margins in the NL Manager of the Year race, with Dave Roberts (46.5%) edging Don Kelly (45.5%) amid a clustered field hovering around 43%, underscoring early-season uncertainty just one week into the 2026 campaign. Roberts' Dodgers sit atop the NL West at 4-2, leveraging their powerhouse roster and his proven championship pedigree—three World Series titles and a prior MOY win—while Kelly's Pirates hold steady at 3-3 in a loaded Central, impressing with bold calls like early hooks on ace Paul Skenes. Differentiators include overachievement narratives, like Clayton McCullough's Marlins (5-1 East leaders) and Pat Murphy's dominant Brewers (5-1, +28 run differential), versus pedigree for Roberts and Pirates' youth surge under Kelly. With 150+ games left, pivotal series and run differentials will dictate momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Pat Murphy 43%
Craig Counsell 42%
Tony Vitello 42%
Dave Roberts 38%
$15,103 Vol.
$15,103 Vol.
Pat Murphy
43%
Craig Counsell
42%
Tony Vitello
42%
Dave Roberts
38%
Clayton McCullough
37%
Torey Lovullo
37%
Oliver Marmol
37%
Terry Francona
16%
Craig Stammen
16%
Walt Weiss
15%
Rob Thomson
15%
Warren Schaeffer
15%
Blake Butera
15%
Carlos Mendoza
-
Don Kelly
39%
Pat Murphy 43%
Craig Counsell 42%
Tony Vitello 42%
Dave Roberts 38%
$15,103 Vol.
$15,103 Vol.
Pat Murphy
43%
Craig Counsell
42%
Tony Vitello
42%
Dave Roberts
38%
Clayton McCullough
37%
Torey Lovullo
37%
Oliver Marmol
37%
Terry Francona
16%
Craig Stammen
16%
Walt Weiss
15%
Rob Thomson
15%
Warren Schaeffer
15%
Blake Butera
15%
Carlos Mendoza
-
Don Kelly
39%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin margins in the NL Manager of the Year race, with Dave Roberts (46.5%) edging Don Kelly (45.5%) amid a clustered field hovering around 43%, underscoring early-season uncertainty just one week into the 2026 campaign. Roberts' Dodgers sit atop the NL West at 4-2, leveraging their powerhouse roster and his proven championship pedigree—three World Series titles and a prior MOY win—while Kelly's Pirates hold steady at 3-3 in a loaded Central, impressing with bold calls like early hooks on ace Paul Skenes. Differentiators include overachievement narratives, like Clayton McCullough's Marlins (5-1 East leaders) and Pat Murphy's dominant Brewers (5-1, +28 run differential), versus pedigree for Roberts and Pirates' youth surge under Kelly. With 150+ games left, pivotal series and run differentials will dictate momentum shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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