Trader consensus gives Shohei Ohtani a slim 41.5% implied probability to win the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award, buoyed by his record-setting 2024 campaign—54 home runs, 59 stolen bases, and league-leading OPS+ despite returning from elbow surgery—positioning the Dodgers star as the offensive benchmark. Yet the race stays razor-tight with Ronald Acuña Jr. (35.1%), Bryce Harper (35.0%), and Fernando Tatis Jr. (34.6%) clustered nearby, driven by Acuña's explosive pre-injury track record despite an ACL tear sidelining him for most of 2024, Harper's consistent power-RBI production into his mid-30s, and Tatis's resurgent form post-suspension with 21 homers and elite speed. Mookie Betts (31.8%) lurks amid shoulder recovery, while uncertainties like Juan Soto's free agency path keep the field wide open ahead of spring training.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日MLB : 2026年NLハンク・アーロン優勝
MLB : 2026年NLハンク・アーロン優勝
ロナルド・アクーニャ・ジュニア 37.0%
ブライス・ハーパー 31.4%
ムーキー・ベッツ 30.4%
カイル・シュワーバー 25%
$111,052 Vol.
$111,052 Vol.
ロナルド・アクーニャ・ジュニア
37%
ブライス・ハーパー
31%
ムーキー・ベッツ
30%
カイル・シュワーバー
25%
フアン・ソト
18%
ピート・クロウ=アームストロング
1%
フランシスコ・リンドー
1%
ケーテル・マルテ
<1%
大谷翔平
42%
フェルナンド・タティス・ジュニア
32%
ロナルド・アクーニャ・ジュニア 37.0%
ブライス・ハーパー 31.4%
ムーキー・ベッツ 30.4%
カイル・シュワーバー 25%
$111,052 Vol.
$111,052 Vol.
ロナルド・アクーニャ・ジュニア
37%
ブライス・ハーパー
31%
ムーキー・ベッツ
30%
カイル・シュワーバー
25%
フアン・ソト
18%
ピート・クロウ=アームストロング
1%
フランシスコ・リンドー
1%
ケーテル・マルテ
<1%
大谷翔平
42%
フェルナンド・タティス・ジュニア
32%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus gives Shohei Ohtani a slim 41.5% implied probability to win the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award, buoyed by his record-setting 2024 campaign—54 home runs, 59 stolen bases, and league-leading OPS+ despite returning from elbow surgery—positioning the Dodgers star as the offensive benchmark. Yet the race stays razor-tight with Ronald Acuña Jr. (35.1%), Bryce Harper (35.0%), and Fernando Tatis Jr. (34.6%) clustered nearby, driven by Acuña's explosive pre-injury track record despite an ACL tear sidelining him for most of 2024, Harper's consistent power-RBI production into his mid-30s, and Tatis's resurgent form post-suspension with 21 homers and elite speed. Mookie Betts (31.8%) lurks amid shoulder recovery, while uncertainties like Juan Soto's free agency path keep the field wide open ahead of spring training.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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