Trader consensus favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 45.5% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, reflecting their status as back-to-back World Series champions with MLB's deepest roster, including a historic rotation featuring healthy returns from Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, plus stars like Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman. Recent spring training previews and Opening Day power rankings universally rank them No. 1, bolstered by minimal early-season injury disruptions despite reliever Brusdar Graterol's absence. The New York Mets trail at 15.5% after aggressive offseason reshuffling and a record $371 million payroll under Steve Cohen, positioning them as NL East frontrunners with a revamped lineup and high playoff odds around 80%. San Diego Padres (10.1%) benefit from West Division depth, while Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies (both 8.0%) hold steady via proven rotations amid a competitive wild card race, with no major roster setbacks in the past week altering projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ロサンゼルス・ドジャース 45%
ニューヨーク・メッツ 16%
サンディエゴ・パドレス 10.1%
アトランタ・ブレーブス 8%
$2,474,006 Vol.
$2,474,006 Vol.
ロサンゼルス・ドジャース
45%
ニューヨーク・メッツ
16%
サンディエゴ・パドレス
10%
アトランタ・ブレーブス
8%
フィラデルフィア・フィリーズ
8%
シカゴ・カブス
5%
ミルウォーキー・ブルワーズ
5%
ピッツバーグ・パイレーツ
3%
シンシナティ・レッズ
2%
アリゾナ・ダイヤモンドバックス
2%
サンフランシスコ・ジャイアンツ
1%
コロラド・ロッキーズ
1%
セントルイス・カージナルス
1%
マイアミ・マーリンズ
1%
ワシントン・ナショナルズ
<1%
ロサンゼルス・ドジャース 45%
ニューヨーク・メッツ 16%
サンディエゴ・パドレス 10.1%
アトランタ・ブレーブス 8%
$2,474,006 Vol.
$2,474,006 Vol.
ロサンゼルス・ドジャース
45%
ニューヨーク・メッツ
16%
サンディエゴ・パドレス
10%
アトランタ・ブレーブス
8%
フィラデルフィア・フィリーズ
8%
シカゴ・カブス
5%
ミルウォーキー・ブルワーズ
5%
ピッツバーグ・パイレーツ
3%
シンシナティ・レッズ
2%
アリゾナ・ダイヤモンドバックス
2%
サンフランシスコ・ジャイアンツ
1%
コロラド・ロッキーズ
1%
セントルイス・カージナルス
1%
マイアミ・マーリンズ
1%
ワシントン・ナショナルズ
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 45.5% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, reflecting their status as back-to-back World Series champions with MLB's deepest roster, including a historic rotation featuring healthy returns from Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto, plus stars like Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman. Recent spring training previews and Opening Day power rankings universally rank them No. 1, bolstered by minimal early-season injury disruptions despite reliever Brusdar Graterol's absence. The New York Mets trail at 15.5% after aggressive offseason reshuffling and a record $371 million payroll under Steve Cohen, positioning them as NL East frontrunners with a revamped lineup and high playoff odds around 80%. San Diego Padres (10.1%) benefit from West Division depth, while Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies (both 8.0%) hold steady via proven rotations amid a competitive wild card race, with no major roster setbacks in the past week altering projections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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