Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 57% implied probability to win Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his substantial fundraising advantage—bolstered by self-funding as a multimillionaire—and incumbency benefits like name recognition in the Detroit-based district. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 39%, gaining from progressive endorsements by groups like Working Families Party and Justice Democrats, plus recent visibility from an April 1 radio interview outlining his platform on local issues. Thanedar's March 23 discussion of his record addressed criticisms, while a April 21 filing deadline looms as a key milestone; no public polls exist, leaving odds driven by cash-on-hand disparities and historical primary patterns favoring incumbents. Minor candidates like Nazmul Hassan and Anthony Carbonaro hover under 3% amid limited traction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日シュリ・タネダル 56%
ドナバン・マッキニー 40%
アンソニー・カルボナロ 2.6%
ナズムル・ハッサン 2.4%
$21,928 Vol.
$21,928 Vol.
シュリ・タネダル
56%
ドナバン・マッキニー
40%
アンソニー・カルボナロ
3%
ナズムル・ハッサン
2%
シェルビー・キャンベル
<1%
シュリ・タネダル 56%
ドナバン・マッキニー 40%
アンソニー・カルボナロ 2.6%
ナズムル・ハッサン 2.4%
$21,928 Vol.
$21,928 Vol.
シュリ・タネダル
56%
ドナバン・マッキニー
40%
アンソニー・カルボナロ
3%
ナズムル・ハッサン
2%
シェルビー・キャンベル
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a trader consensus edge at 57% implied probability to win Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his substantial fundraising advantage—bolstered by self-funding as a multimillionaire—and incumbency benefits like name recognition in the Detroit-based district. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails at 39%, gaining from progressive endorsements by groups like Working Families Party and Justice Democrats, plus recent visibility from an April 1 radio interview outlining his platform on local issues. Thanedar's March 23 discussion of his record addressed criticisms, while a April 21 filing deadline looms as a key milestone; no public polls exist, leaving odds driven by cash-on-hand disparities and historical primary patterns favoring incumbents. Minor candidates like Nazmul Hassan and Anthony Carbonaro hover under 3% amid limited traction.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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