Market icon
政治·ミシガン州

MI -13民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·ミシガン州

MI -13民主党予備選挙優勝者

シュリ・タネダル 46%

ドナバン・マッキニー 43%

アンソニー・カルボナロ 6%

ナズムル・ハッサン 5%

Polymarket

$20,304 Vol.

シュリ・タネダル 46%

ドナバン・マッキニー 43%

アンソニー・カルボナロ 6%

ナズムル・ハッサン 5%

Polymarket

$20,304 Vol.

シュリ・タネダル

$396 Vol.

46%

ドナバン・マッキニー

$19,908 Vol.

43%

アンソニー・カルボナロ

$0 Vol.

6%

ナズムル・ハッサン

$0 Vol.

5%

シェルビー・キャンベル

$0 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 46% over state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 43% in Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary, underscoring a competitive race in the Detroit-area seat with a plurality Black electorate. McKinney has gained momentum from progressive endorsements including the Sunrise Movement in January, Working Families Party in early March, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Justice Democrats, and Wayne County Black leaders criticizing Thanedar's visibility and representation. Thanedar counters with self-funding advantages despite recent quarters where McKinney outraised him locally. Absent public polls, the contest hinges on petition filings due April 20, Q1 fundraising reports, and potential debates, any of which could solidify a frontrunner ahead of the August 4 primary.

Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 46% over state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 43% in Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary, underscoring a competitive race in the Detroit-area seat with a plurality Black electorate. McKinney has gained momentum from progressive endorsements including the Sunrise Movement in January, Working Families Party in early March, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Justice Democrats, and Wayne County Black leaders criticizing Thanedar's visibility and representation. Thanedar counters with self-funding advantages despite recent quarters where McKinney outraised him locally. Absent public polls, the contest hinges on petition filings due April 20, Q1 fundraising reports, and potential debates, any of which could solidify a frontrunner ahead of the August 4 primary.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 46% over state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 43% in Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary, underscoring a competitive race in the Detroit-area seat with a plurality Black electorate. McKinney has gained momentum from progressive endorsements including the Sunrise Movement in January, Working Families Party in early March, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Justice Democrats, and Wayne County Black leaders criticizing Thanedar's visibility and representation. Thanedar counters with self-funding advantages despite recent quarters where McKinney outraised him locally. Absent public polls, the contest hinges on petition filings due April 20, Q1 fundraising reports, and potential debates, any of which could solidify a frontrunner ahead of the August 4 primary.

Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus lead at 46% over state Rep. Donavan McKinney's 43% in Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary, underscoring a competitive race in the Detroit-area seat with a plurality Black electorate. McKinney has gained momentum from progressive endorsements including the Sunrise Movement in January, Working Families Party in early March, Rep. Rashida Tlaib, Justice Democrats, and Wayne County Black leaders criticizing Thanedar's visibility and representation. Thanedar counters with self-funding advantages despite recent quarters where McKinney outraised him locally. Absent public polls, the contest hinges on petition filings due April 20, Q1 fundraising reports, and potential debates, any of which could solidify a frontrunner ahead of the August 4 primary.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「MI -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「シュリ・タネダル」で46%、次いで「ドナバン・マッキニー」が43%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、46¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に46%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「MI -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$20.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 19, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「MI -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「MI -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「シュリ・タネダル」で46%であり、市場がこの結果に46%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ドナバン・マッキニー」で43%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「MI -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。