Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities, maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+9 partisan voter index and the party's 18.6-point 2024 margin. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens opted to pursue the U.S. Senate rather than seek re-election, prompting multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the August 4 contest. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that favors the eventual Democratic nominee over Republican options including Troy Mayor Ethan Baker. The district's consistent voting patterns and fundraising disparities limit near-term shifts, though the primary outcome and turnout dynamics in November could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$56,096 Vol.
$56,096 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
$56,096 Vol.
$56,096 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$43,902 Vol.
96%
共和党
$12,194 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities, maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+9 partisan voter index and the party's 18.6-point 2024 margin. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens opted to pursue the U.S. Senate rather than seek re-election, prompting multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the August 4 contest. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that favors the eventual Democratic nominee over Republican options including Troy Mayor Ethan Baker. The district's consistent voting patterns and fundraising disparities limit near-term shifts, though the primary outcome and turnout dynamics in November could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$56,096終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities, maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+9 partisan voter index and the party's 18.6-point 2024 margin. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens opted to pursue the U.S. Senate rather than seek re-election, prompting multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the August 4 contest. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that favors the eventual Democratic nominee over Republican options including Troy Mayor Ethan Baker. The district's consistent voting patterns and fundraising disparities limit near-term shifts, though the primary outcome and turnout dynamics in November could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$56,096終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district, encompassing suburban Oakland County communities, maintains a Democratic lean reflected in its D+9 partisan voter index and the party's 18.6-point 2024 margin. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens opted to pursue the U.S. Senate rather than seek re-election, prompting multiple Democratic primary contenders ahead of the August 4 contest. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that favors the eventual Democratic nominee over Republican options including Troy Mayor Ethan Baker. The district's consistent voting patterns and fundraising disparities limit near-term shifts, though the primary outcome and turnout dynamics in November could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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