Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District after winning the August 4 primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent Haley Stevens in the solidly Democratic-leaning Oakland County seat. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district’s voting patterns and Moss’s legislative experience. Ethan Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus at 96 percent for Moss reflects the limited competitiveness and absence of recent events capable of altering fundamentals. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or turnout anomalies remain the primary theoretical paths for an upset.