Michigan's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat based on its suburban Oakland County demographics, Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9, and the incumbent party's consistent performance, including a 58 percent margin in the prior cycle. With Democrat Haley Stevens declining to seek another House term while pursuing a Senate bid, an open-seat dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates ahead of the August 2026 contest, yet the general-election outlook shows little movement toward Republican viability. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for GOP contenders in this district, though a major national political shift or unusually strong Republican primary nominee could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$56,096 Vol.
$56,096 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
$56,096 Vol.
$56,096 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$43,902 Vol.
96%
共和党
$12,194 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat based on its suburban Oakland County demographics, Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9, and the incumbent party's consistent performance, including a 58 percent margin in the prior cycle. With Democrat Haley Stevens declining to seek another House term while pursuing a Senate bid, an open-seat dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates ahead of the August 2026 contest, yet the general-election outlook shows little movement toward Republican viability. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for GOP contenders in this district, though a major national political shift or unusually strong Republican primary nominee could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$56,096終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat based on its suburban Oakland County demographics, Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9, and the incumbent party's consistent performance, including a 58 percent margin in the prior cycle. With Democrat Haley Stevens declining to seek another House term while pursuing a Senate bid, an open-seat dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates ahead of the August 2026 contest, yet the general-election outlook shows little movement toward Republican viability. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for GOP contenders in this district, though a major national political shift or unusually strong Republican primary nominee could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$56,096終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat based on its suburban Oakland County demographics, Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9, and the incumbent party's consistent performance, including a 58 percent margin in the prior cycle. With Democrat Haley Stevens declining to seek another House term while pursuing a Senate bid, an open-seat dynamic has drawn multiple Democratic primary candidates ahead of the August 2026 contest, yet the general-election outlook shows little movement toward Republican viability. Trader consensus reflects the structural barriers for GOP contenders in this district, though a major national political shift or unusually strong Republican primary nominee could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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