Michigan's 5th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent prior results, including the incumbent's 65.7 percent victory in 2024. Republican Tim Walberg, an 11-term representative, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary in a district spanning conservative southern counties bordering Indiana and Ohio. Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich also ran without primary opposition but faces structural barriers, including limited fundraising and the seat's established voting patterns. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals, though low-probability shifts could stem from national political swings, candidate-specific developments, or unusual turnout dynamics in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$20,344 Vol.
$20,344 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$20,344 Vol.
$20,344 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$9,771 Vol.
95%
民主党
$10,573 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 5th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent prior results, including the incumbent's 65.7 percent victory in 2024. Republican Tim Walberg, an 11-term representative, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary in a district spanning conservative southern counties bordering Indiana and Ohio. Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich also ran without primary opposition but faces structural barriers, including limited fundraising and the seat's established voting patterns. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals, though low-probability shifts could stem from national political swings, candidate-specific developments, or unusual turnout dynamics in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$20,344終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 5th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent prior results, including the incumbent's 65.7 percent victory in 2024. Republican Tim Walberg, an 11-term representative, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary in a district spanning conservative southern counties bordering Indiana and Ohio. Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich also ran without primary opposition but faces structural barriers, including limited fundraising and the seat's established voting patterns. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals, though low-probability shifts could stem from national political swings, candidate-specific developments, or unusual turnout dynamics in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$20,344終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 5th congressional district maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent prior results, including the incumbent's 65.7 percent victory in 2024. Republican Tim Walberg, an 11-term representative, advanced unopposed through the August 2026 primary in a district spanning conservative southern counties bordering Indiana and Ohio. Democratic nominee Christian Vukasovich also ran without primary opposition but faces structural barriers, including limited fundraising and the seat's established voting patterns. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals, though low-probability shifts could stem from national political swings, candidate-specific developments, or unusual turnout dynamics in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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