The solidly Republican character of Michigan's 5th Congressional District, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP, underpins the current 90.5% trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Long-serving incumbent Tim Walberg faces minimal opposition after securing 65.7% in 2024, with the August 4 primary and April 21 filing deadline showing no Democratic contender positioned to mount a serious challenge in this southern Michigan district spanning the Indiana and Ohio borders. Analysts across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unusually strong national Democratic wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate such shifts would require exceptional circumstances to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,654 Vol.
91%
民主党
$2,365 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Michigan's 5th Congressional District, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP, underpins the current 90.5% trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Long-serving incumbent Tim Walberg faces minimal opposition after securing 65.7% in 2024, with the August 4 primary and April 21 filing deadline showing no Democratic contender positioned to mount a serious challenge in this southern Michigan district spanning the Indiana and Ohio borders. Analysts across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unusually strong national Democratic wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate such shifts would require exceptional circumstances to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$5,020終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Michigan's 5th Congressional District, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP, underpins the current 90.5% trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Long-serving incumbent Tim Walberg faces minimal opposition after securing 65.7% in 2024, with the August 4 primary and April 21 filing deadline showing no Democratic contender positioned to mount a serious challenge in this southern Michigan district spanning the Indiana and Ohio borders. Analysts across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unusually strong national Democratic wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate such shifts would require exceptional circumstances to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,020終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Michigan's 5th Congressional District, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for the GOP, underpins the current 90.5% trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Long-serving incumbent Tim Walberg faces minimal opposition after securing 65.7% in 2024, with the August 4 primary and April 21 filing deadline showing no Democratic contender positioned to mount a serious challenge in this southern Michigan district spanning the Indiana and Ohio borders. Analysts across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Late developments such as an unusually strong national Democratic wave, major scandal, or health-related withdrawal could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate such shifts would require exceptional circumstances to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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