Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten is seeking reelection in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has trended Democratic in recent cycles, including an eight-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024 and Scholten's own ten-point victory that year. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or likely Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, yet no developments have altered the district's underlying partisan balance or Scholten's position. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in similar districts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
87%
共和党
13%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$450 Vol.
87%
共和党
$163 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten is seeking reelection in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has trended Democratic in recent cycles, including an eight-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024 and Scholten's own ten-point victory that year. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or likely Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, yet no developments have altered the district's underlying partisan balance or Scholten's position. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in similar districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
音量
$613終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten is seeking reelection in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has trended Democratic in recent cycles, including an eight-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024 and Scholten's own ten-point victory that year. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or likely Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, yet no developments have altered the district's underlying partisan balance or Scholten's position. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in similar districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$613終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten is seeking reelection in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 and has trended Democratic in recent cycles, including an eight-point margin for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2024 and Scholten's own ten-point victory that year. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the contest as solid or likely Democratic ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the primary, yet no developments have altered the district's underlying partisan balance or Scholten's position. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in similar districts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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