Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who captured the seat in 2024, has filed for re-election and enters the June 23, 2026 primary as the clear frontrunner against several challengers. Republican candidates are contesting the primary but face structural barriers in a district that has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent general elections. Trader consensus pricing this outcome above 90 percent aligns with the district’s electoral math and incumbency patterns, though an unusually strong national Republican wave or late-cycle disruption could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,366 Vol.
$24,366 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$24,366 Vol.
$24,366 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,544 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,822 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who captured the seat in 2024, has filed for re-election and enters the June 23, 2026 primary as the clear frontrunner against several challengers. Republican candidates are contesting the primary but face structural barriers in a district that has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent general elections. Trader consensus pricing this outcome above 90 percent aligns with the district’s electoral math and incumbency patterns, though an unusually strong national Republican wave or late-cycle disruption could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$24,366終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who captured the seat in 2024, has filed for re-election and enters the June 23, 2026 primary as the clear frontrunner against several challengers. Republican candidates are contesting the primary but face structural barriers in a district that has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent general elections. Trader consensus pricing this outcome above 90 percent aligns with the district’s electoral math and incumbency patterns, though an unusually strong national Republican wave or late-cycle disruption could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,366終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 3rd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who captured the seat in 2024, has filed for re-election and enters the June 23, 2026 primary as the clear frontrunner against several challengers. Republican candidates are contesting the primary but face structural barriers in a district that has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent general elections. Trader consensus pricing this outcome above 90 percent aligns with the district’s electoral math and incumbency patterns, though an unusually strong national Republican wave or late-cycle disruption could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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