Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential elections and positioning it as a safe seat. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski Jr. faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with strong name recognition and fundraising advantages typical of an established officeholder. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on a wide margin. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or an unforeseen primary outcome that weakens the Democratic nominee, neither of which appears probable based on current district fundamentals and historical voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,710 Vol.
94%
共和党
$2,181 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential elections and positioning it as a safe seat. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski Jr. faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with strong name recognition and fundraising advantages typical of an established officeholder. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on a wide margin. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or an unforeseen primary outcome that weakens the Democratic nominee, neither of which appears probable based on current district fundamentals and historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$9,891終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential elections and positioning it as a safe seat. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski Jr. faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with strong name recognition and fundraising advantages typical of an established officeholder. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on a wide margin. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or an unforeseen primary outcome that weakens the Democratic nominee, neither of which appears probable based on current district fundamentals and historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,891終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential elections and positioning it as a safe seat. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski Jr. faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with strong name recognition and fundraising advantages typical of an established officeholder. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on a wide margin. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national environment or an unforeseen primary outcome that weakens the Democratic nominee, neither of which appears probable based on current district fundamentals and historical voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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