Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in U.S. Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010, establishing a structural baseline that underpins the current 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Ed Markey maintains double-digit leads over primary challenger Seth Moulton in recent University of New Hampshire and Emerson College surveys, while both Democrats hold commanding advantages over Republican contenders such as John Deaton in head-to-head matchups. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections on September 1, 2026, and the November 3 general election remain months away, leaving room for shifts from late developments including candidate health events, major scandals, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,382 Vol.
95%
共和党
$4,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in U.S. Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010, establishing a structural baseline that underpins the current 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Ed Markey maintains double-digit leads over primary challenger Seth Moulton in recent University of New Hampshire and Emerson College surveys, while both Democrats hold commanding advantages over Republican contenders such as John Deaton in head-to-head matchups. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections on September 1, 2026, and the November 3 general election remain months away, leaving room for shifts from late developments including candidate health events, major scandals, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$12,986終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in U.S. Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010, establishing a structural baseline that underpins the current 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Ed Markey maintains double-digit leads over primary challenger Seth Moulton in recent University of New Hampshire and Emerson College surveys, while both Democrats hold commanding advantages over Republican contenders such as John Deaton in head-to-head matchups. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections on September 1, 2026, and the November 3 general election remain months away, leaving room for shifts from late developments including candidate health events, major scandals, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$12,986終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in U.S. Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010, establishing a structural baseline that underpins the current 94.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Ed Markey maintains double-digit leads over primary challenger Seth Moulton in recent University of New Hampshire and Emerson College surveys, while both Democrats hold commanding advantages over Republican contenders such as John Deaton in head-to-head matchups. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Primary elections on September 1, 2026, and the November 3 general election remain months away, leaving room for shifts from late developments including candidate health events, major scandals, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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