Massachusetts's long-standing Democratic dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic Senate winner. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2010, and forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term amid a competitive September Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton, though general-election dynamics remain lopsided. Republican primary contenders have limited visibility and fundraising. A Democratic nominee would face minimal opposition in November 2026. Only major unforeseen developments, such as a late scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme national political shift, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$12,986 Vol.
$12,986 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,382 Vol.
95%
共和党
$4,603 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's long-standing Democratic dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic Senate winner. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2010, and forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term amid a competitive September Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton, though general-election dynamics remain lopsided. Republican primary contenders have limited visibility and fundraising. A Democratic nominee would face minimal opposition in November 2026. Only major unforeseen developments, such as a late scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme national political shift, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
音量
$12,986終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's long-standing Democratic dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic Senate winner. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2010, and forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term amid a competitive September Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton, though general-election dynamics remain lopsided. Republican primary contenders have limited visibility and fundraising. A Democratic nominee would face minimal opposition in November 2026. Only major unforeseen developments, such as a late scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme national political shift, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$12,986終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's long-standing Democratic dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic Senate winner. The state has not elected a Republican to the chamber since 2010, and forecasters rate the race as safe or solid Democratic. Incumbent Ed Markey seeks a third term amid a competitive September Democratic primary against Representative Seth Moulton, though general-election dynamics remain lopsided. Republican primary contenders have limited visibility and fundraising. A Democratic nominee would face minimal opposition in November 2026. Only major unforeseen developments, such as a late scandal, candidate withdrawal, or extreme national political shift, could realistically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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