The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge against Ed Markey, remains a Solid Democratic hold per Cook Political Report's D+11 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party despite a crowded primary field. Recent Democratic primary developments, including fundraising boasts from frontrunners Dan Koh, Tram Nguyen, and John Beccia within the past week and March forums debating health care, immigration, and foreign policy, underscore robust party investment ahead of the September 1 primary. Republican Micah Jones, the sole announced GOP contender since his February launch as an Army veteran and attorney, has generated minimal momentum. While a national Republican midterm wave, post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, or late GOP recruitment before the August filing deadline could shift odds, the district's historical Democratic dominance and weak opposition sustain the commanding position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$0 Vol.
93%
共和党
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge against Ed Markey, remains a Solid Democratic hold per Cook Political Report's D+11 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party despite a crowded primary field. Recent Democratic primary developments, including fundraising boasts from frontrunners Dan Koh, Tram Nguyen, and John Beccia within the past week and March forums debating health care, immigration, and foreign policy, underscore robust party investment ahead of the September 1 primary. Republican Micah Jones, the sole announced GOP contender since his February launch as an Army veteran and attorney, has generated minimal momentum. While a national Republican midterm wave, post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, or late GOP recruitment before the August filing deadline could shift odds, the district's historical Democratic dominance and weak opposition sustain the commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge against Ed Markey, remains a Solid Democratic hold per Cook Political Report's D+11 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party despite a crowded primary field. Recent Democratic primary developments, including fundraising boasts from frontrunners Dan Koh, Tram Nguyen, and John Beccia within the past week and March forums debating health care, immigration, and foreign policy, underscore robust party investment ahead of the September 1 primary. Republican Micah Jones, the sole announced GOP contender since his February launch as an Army veteran and attorney, has generated minimal momentum. While a national Republican midterm wave, post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, or late GOP recruitment before the August filing deadline could shift odds, the district's historical Democratic dominance and weak opposition sustain the commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge against Ed Markey, remains a Solid Democratic hold per Cook Political Report's D+11 partisan voting index, driving trader consensus to 92.5% for the Democratic Party despite a crowded primary field. Recent Democratic primary developments, including fundraising boasts from frontrunners Dan Koh, Tram Nguyen, and John Beccia within the past week and March forums debating health care, immigration, and foreign policy, underscore robust party investment ahead of the September 1 primary. Republican Micah Jones, the sole announced GOP contender since his February launch as an Army veteran and attorney, has generated minimal momentum. While a national Republican midterm wave, post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, or late GOP recruitment before the August filing deadline could shift odds, the district's historical Democratic dominance and weak opposition sustain the commanding position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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