The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Seth Moulton is not seeking re-election and is instead challenging for the U.S. Senate, creating an open seat with a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, 2026. Multiple Democratic candidates have declared, while Republican options remain limited. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's North Shore and Merrimack Valley demographics. A Republican general election victory would require either an unprecedented national shift or significant local developments that have not materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
<1%
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
民主党
94%
共和党
<1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Seth Moulton is not seeking re-election and is instead challenging for the U.S. Senate, creating an open seat with a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, 2026. Multiple Democratic candidates have declared, while Republican options remain limited. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's North Shore and Merrimack Valley demographics. A Republican general election victory would require either an unprecedented national shift or significant local developments that have not materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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