The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.8%. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid has created an open seat ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary and November 3 general election, drawing multiple Democratic candidates including leading fundraisers Dan Koh and others. The district's voting patterns and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain the low 3.0% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Factors that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset shifting the general election dynamic or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in this northeastern Massachusetts district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,785 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,903 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.8%. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid has created an open seat ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary and November 3 general election, drawing multiple Democratic candidates including leading fundraisers Dan Koh and others. The district's voting patterns and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain the low 3.0% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Factors that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset shifting the general election dynamic or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in this northeastern Massachusetts district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$14,688終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.8%. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid has created an open seat ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary and November 3 general election, drawing multiple Democratic candidates including leading fundraisers Dan Koh and others. The district's voting patterns and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain the low 3.0% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Factors that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset shifting the general election dynamic or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in this northeastern Massachusetts district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,688終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.8%. Incumbent Seth Moulton's decision to pursue a U.S. Senate bid has created an open seat ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary and November 3 general election, drawing multiple Democratic candidates including leading fundraisers Dan Koh and others. The district's voting patterns and absence of competitive Republican infrastructure sustain the low 3.0% implied probability for the GOP nominee. Factors that could still alter the outcome include an unexpected primary upset shifting the general election dynamic or late-cycle developments affecting turnout in this northeastern Massachusetts district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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