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政治·ルイジアナ州予備選挙

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
政治·ルイジアナ州予備選挙

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Blake Miguez 82%

Rick Edmonds 7.8%

Samuel Wyatt 5%

Misti Cordell 4.3%

Polymarket

$28,167 Vol.

Blake Miguez 82%

Rick Edmonds 7.8%

Samuel Wyatt 5%

Misti Cordell 4.3%

Polymarket

$28,167 Vol.

Blake Miguez

$14,995 Vol.

82%

Rick Edmonds

$17 Vol.

8%

Samuel Wyatt

$5,025 Vol.

5%

Misti Cordell

$17 Vol.

4%

Austin Magee

$17 Vol.

4%

Michael Mebruer

$17 Vol.

4%

Michael Echols

$8,077 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability in the Louisiana 5th Congressional District Republican primary, propelled by President Trump's early February endorsement following his switch from the U.S. Senate race after Rep. Julia Letlow vacated the seat for her Senate bid. Miguez's legislative experience since 2015 and strong fundraising further solidify his frontrunner status in the crowded field, despite ongoing residency challenges from rivals noting his home outside the district. Challengers like Misti Cordell, a Trump delegate and Board of Regents chair, and state Sen. Rick Edmonds hold low-single-digit shares around 9%, reflecting limited momentum post-March 20 candidate forum in Caldwell Parish. The closed GOP primary on May 16 could see low turnout favoring the endorsed incumbent-backed contender.

Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability in the Louisiana 5th Congressional District Republican primary, propelled by President Trump's early February endorsement following his switch from the U.S. Senate race after Rep. Julia Letlow vacated the seat for her Senate bid. Miguez's legislative experience since 2015 and strong fundraising further solidify his frontrunner status in the crowded field, despite ongoing residency challenges from rivals noting his home outside the district. Challengers like Misti Cordell, a Trump delegate and Board of Regents chair, and state Sen. Rick Edmonds hold low-single-digit shares around 9%, reflecting limited momentum post-March 20 candidate forum in Caldwell Parish. The closed GOP primary on May 16 could see low turnout favoring the endorsed incumbent-backed contender.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability in the Louisiana 5th Congressional District Republican primary, propelled by President Trump's early February endorsement following his switch from the U.S. Senate race after Rep. Julia Letlow vacated the seat for her Senate bid. Miguez's legislative experience since 2015 and strong fundraising further solidify his frontrunner status in the crowded field, despite ongoing residency challenges from rivals noting his home outside the district. Challengers like Misti Cordell, a Trump delegate and Board of Regents chair, and state Sen. Rick Edmonds hold low-single-digit shares around 9%, reflecting limited momentum post-March 20 candidate forum in Caldwell Parish. The closed GOP primary on May 16 could see low turnout favoring the endorsed incumbent-backed contender.

Blake Miguez leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability in the Louisiana 5th Congressional District Republican primary, propelled by President Trump's early February endorsement following his switch from the U.S. Senate race after Rep. Julia Letlow vacated the seat for her Senate bid. Miguez's legislative experience since 2015 and strong fundraising further solidify his frontrunner status in the crowded field, despite ongoing residency challenges from rivals noting his home outside the district. Challengers like Misti Cordell, a Trump delegate and Board of Regents chair, and state Sen. Rick Edmonds hold low-single-digit shares around 9%, reflecting limited momentum post-March 20 candidate forum in Caldwell Parish. The closed GOP primary on May 16 could see low turnout favoring the endorsed incumbent-backed contender.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「LA-05 Republican Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Blake Miguez」で82%、次いで「Rick Edmonds」が8%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、82¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に82%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「LA-05 Republican Primary Winner」は$28.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 26, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「LA-05 Republican Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「LA-05 Republican Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Blake Miguez」で82%であり、市場がこの結果に82%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Rick Edmonds」で8%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「LA-05 Republican Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。