Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following Representative Julia Letlow’s decision to run for U.S. Senate. The district’s rural northeastern and central Louisiana territory has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. A new congressional map signed May 29 by Governor Jeff Landry, enacted after a Supreme Court ruling struck down the prior plan as an unconstitutional gerrymander, further reduces Democratic-leaning areas and reinforces the GOP structural advantage. With an open primary now set for November 3 and a potential December 12 runoff, multiple Republican candidates are competing while Democratic options face steep headwinds in a district rated R+18. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party an 89.5% implied probability of holding the seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
11%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,452 Vol.
90%
民主党
$3,566 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following Representative Julia Letlow’s decision to run for U.S. Senate. The district’s rural northeastern and central Louisiana territory has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. A new congressional map signed May 29 by Governor Jeff Landry, enacted after a Supreme Court ruling struck down the prior plan as an unconstitutional gerrymander, further reduces Democratic-leaning areas and reinforces the GOP structural advantage. With an open primary now set for November 3 and a potential December 12 runoff, multiple Republican candidates are competing while Democratic options face steep headwinds in a district rated R+18. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party an 89.5% implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$6,018終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following Representative Julia Letlow’s decision to run for U.S. Senate. The district’s rural northeastern and central Louisiana territory has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. A new congressional map signed May 29 by Governor Jeff Landry, enacted after a Supreme Court ruling struck down the prior plan as an unconstitutional gerrymander, further reduces Democratic-leaning areas and reinforces the GOP structural advantage. With an open primary now set for November 3 and a potential December 12 runoff, multiple Republican candidates are competing while Democratic options face steep headwinds in a district rated R+18. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party an 89.5% implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,018終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana’s 5th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following Representative Julia Letlow’s decision to run for U.S. Senate. The district’s rural northeastern and central Louisiana territory has consistently delivered large Republican margins in recent cycles. A new congressional map signed May 29 by Governor Jeff Landry, enacted after a Supreme Court ruling struck down the prior plan as an unconstitutional gerrymander, further reduces Democratic-leaning areas and reinforces the GOP structural advantage. With an open primary now set for November 3 and a potential December 12 runoff, multiple Republican candidates are competing while Democratic options face steep headwinds in a district rated R+18. Trader consensus therefore assigns the Republican Party an 89.5% implied probability of holding the seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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