Incumbent Republican Speaker Mike Johnson anchors Louisiana's 4th Congressional District, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+26 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Johnson secured 85.8% of the vote in the 2024 general election against limited opposition, reflecting the district's northwestern Louisiana base centered on Shreveport-Bossier City. With filing deadlines approaching in late 2025 and the nonpartisan primary set for April 2026 ahead of the November general, no Democratic challengers have emerged to alter the structural advantage. Trader consensus at 89.5% for Republicans aligns with this entrenched partisan lean and incumbency strength, though any late primary developments could test the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
10%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$870 Vol.
90%
民主党
$1,415 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Speaker Mike Johnson anchors Louisiana's 4th Congressional District, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+26 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Johnson secured 85.8% of the vote in the 2024 general election against limited opposition, reflecting the district's northwestern Louisiana base centered on Shreveport-Bossier City. With filing deadlines approaching in late 2025 and the nonpartisan primary set for April 2026 ahead of the November general, no Democratic challengers have emerged to alter the structural advantage. Trader consensus at 89.5% for Republicans aligns with this entrenched partisan lean and incumbency strength, though any late primary developments could test the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$2,285終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Speaker Mike Johnson anchors Louisiana's 4th Congressional District, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+26 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Johnson secured 85.8% of the vote in the 2024 general election against limited opposition, reflecting the district's northwestern Louisiana base centered on Shreveport-Bossier City. With filing deadlines approaching in late 2025 and the nonpartisan primary set for April 2026 ahead of the November general, no Democratic challengers have emerged to alter the structural advantage. Trader consensus at 89.5% for Republicans aligns with this entrenched partisan lean and incumbency strength, though any late primary developments could test the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,285終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Speaker Mike Johnson anchors Louisiana's 4th Congressional District, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+26 and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Johnson secured 85.8% of the vote in the 2024 general election against limited opposition, reflecting the district's northwestern Louisiana base centered on Shreveport-Bossier City. With filing deadlines approaching in late 2025 and the nonpartisan primary set for April 2026 ahead of the November general, no Democratic challengers have emerged to alter the structural advantage. Trader consensus at 89.5% for Republicans aligns with this entrenched partisan lean and incumbency strength, though any late primary developments could test the margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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