Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs Kanye West's 'BULLY' (released March 28) finishing first-week album sales under 300k units, driven by the latest HITS Daily Double projections of 117,000-165,000 total units—including just 20,000-55,000 in pure sales—placing it at No. 2 on the Billboard 200 behind BTS. This reflects diminished physical sales from early estimates of 100,000, mixed critical reception to Ye's post-VULTURES output, ongoing controversies dampening mainstream appeal, and stiff competition despite 33 million first-day Spotify streams. An upset to 300k+ would require an unprecedented late-week streaming or sales surge, unlikely as tracking nears its close with historical precedent showing projections rarely deviate significantly. Final Billboard tallies drop next week.