Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson's entrenched position in Indiana's 7th congressional district drives trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Carson won renomination on May 5 with roughly 63 percent of the primary vote against several challengers and faces Republican Patrick McAuley in the November general election. The district, encompassing most of Indianapolis in Marion County, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Carson's 68 percent share in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's demographics and voting patterns. While a commanding lead is priced in, factors such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national political swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$1,895 Vol.
92%
共和党
$396 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson's entrenched position in Indiana's 7th congressional district drives trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Carson won renomination on May 5 with roughly 63 percent of the primary vote against several challengers and faces Republican Patrick McAuley in the November general election. The district, encompassing most of Indianapolis in Marion County, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Carson's 68 percent share in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's demographics and voting patterns. While a commanding lead is priced in, factors such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national political swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$2,291終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson's entrenched position in Indiana's 7th congressional district drives trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Carson won renomination on May 5 with roughly 63 percent of the primary vote against several challengers and faces Republican Patrick McAuley in the November general election. The district, encompassing most of Indianapolis in Marion County, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Carson's 68 percent share in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's demographics and voting patterns. While a commanding lead is priced in, factors such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national political swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,291終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative André Carson's entrenched position in Indiana's 7th congressional district drives trader consensus toward a Democratic outcome. Carson won renomination on May 5 with roughly 63 percent of the primary vote against several challengers and faces Republican Patrick McAuley in the November general election. The district, encompassing most of Indianapolis in Marion County, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, including Carson's 68 percent share in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the area's demographics and voting patterns. While a commanding lead is priced in, factors such as an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national political swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問