Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 16th congressional district, while Democrat Paul Nolley advanced as the sole Democratic nominee. The district carries an R+11 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results, aligning with consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and leading independent forecasters to rate the general election as Solid or Safe Republican. LaHood's established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage with millions in cash reserves, and the rural-suburban character of northern and central Illinois continue to shape trader consensus reflected in the strong Republican positioning. With six months until the November 3 general election, national political shifts remain the primary variables that could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,910 Vol.
$12,910 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
10%
$12,910 Vol.
$12,910 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,841 Vol.
89%
民主党
$9,070 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 16th congressional district, while Democrat Paul Nolley advanced as the sole Democratic nominee. The district carries an R+11 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results, aligning with consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and leading independent forecasters to rate the general election as Solid or Safe Republican. LaHood's established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage with millions in cash reserves, and the rural-suburban character of northern and central Illinois continue to shape trader consensus reflected in the strong Republican positioning. With six months until the November 3 general election, national political shifts remain the primary variables that could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$12,910終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 16th congressional district, while Democrat Paul Nolley advanced as the sole Democratic nominee. The district carries an R+11 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results, aligning with consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and leading independent forecasters to rate the general election as Solid or Safe Republican. LaHood's established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage with millions in cash reserves, and the rural-suburban character of northern and central Illinois continue to shape trader consensus reflected in the strong Republican positioning. With six months until the November 3 general election, national political shifts remain the primary variables that could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,910終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary for Illinois's 16th congressional district, while Democrat Paul Nolley advanced as the sole Democratic nominee. The district carries an R+11 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results, aligning with consistent Republican performance in prior cycles and leading independent forecasters to rate the general election as Solid or Safe Republican. LaHood's established name recognition, substantial fundraising advantage with millions in cash reserves, and the rural-suburban character of northern and central Illinois continue to shape trader consensus reflected in the strong Republican positioning. With six months until the November 3 general election, national political shifts remain the primary variables that could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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