Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a strong position in Illinois's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democrat Paul Nolley. The district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 88 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their March 2026 primaries, leaving no primary surprises to shift sentiment. LaHood's incumbency and the district's rural northern Illinois base continue to limit Democratic competitiveness, though the six-month timeline to Election Day leaves room for national political shifts or turnout changes to influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,910 Vol.
$12,910 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
10%
$12,910 Vol.
$12,910 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,841 Vol.
88%
民主党
$9,070 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a strong position in Illinois's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democrat Paul Nolley. The district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 88 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their March 2026 primaries, leaving no primary surprises to shift sentiment. LaHood's incumbency and the district's rural northern Illinois base continue to limit Democratic competitiveness, though the six-month timeline to Election Day leaves room for national political shifts or turnout changes to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$12,910終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a strong position in Illinois's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democrat Paul Nolley. The district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 88 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their March 2026 primaries, leaving no primary surprises to shift sentiment. LaHood's incumbency and the district's rural northern Illinois base continue to limit Democratic competitiveness, though the six-month timeline to Election Day leaves room for national political shifts or turnout changes to influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,910終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a strong position in Illinois's 16th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democrat Paul Nolley. The district's R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 88 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed from their March 2026 primaries, leaving no primary surprises to shift sentiment. LaHood's incumbency and the district's rural northern Illinois base continue to limit Democratic competitiveness, though the six-month timeline to Election Day leaves room for national political shifts or turnout changes to influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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